Aaron Rai has seized a commanding lead during the final round of the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club, driving trader consensus to an overwhelming implied probability for him as the winner. His strong ball-striking and putting have produced a multi-shot advantage over a crowded leaderboard that includes Matti Schmid, Jon Rahm, and others, reflecting his superior recent form and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. While the event remains ongoing, this positioning leaves limited room for challengers to close the gap without significant errors from the leader. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected late-round collapse by Rai, adverse weather conditions affecting play, or an improbable surge from the field, though such shifts remain uncommon given the current margin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAaron Rai 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Cameron Young <1%
$8,641,552 Vol.
$8,641,552 Vol.
Aaron Rai
100%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Rory McIlroy
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Matti Schmid
<1%
Aaron Rai 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Cameron Young <1%
$8,641,552 Vol.
$8,641,552 Vol.
Aaron Rai
100%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Rory McIlroy
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Matti Schmid
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Rai has seized a commanding lead during the final round of the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club, driving trader consensus to an overwhelming implied probability for him as the winner. His strong ball-striking and putting have produced a multi-shot advantage over a crowded leaderboard that includes Matti Schmid, Jon Rahm, and others, reflecting his superior recent form and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. While the event remains ongoing, this positioning leaves limited room for challengers to close the gap without significant errors from the leader. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected late-round collapse by Rai, adverse weather conditions affecting play, or an improbable surge from the field, though such shifts remain uncommon given the current margin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen