The closely bunched implied probabilities for Aaron Rai at 34.3% and Jon Rahm at 30.3% capture the intense parity among frontrunners in the final round of the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Both golfers have demonstrated strong recent form and major resilience, with Rahm’s experience in high-stakes situations balancing Rai’s consistent ball-striking and momentum. A crowded chase group including Matti Schmid and Alex Smalley, who holds a narrow lead after three sub-70 rounds, adds further uncertainty as late surges, wind conditions, and precise approach play can quickly shift standings. This dynamic underscores how golf majors reward current positioning and mental steadiness over pre-tournament rankings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAaron Rai 34.5%
Jon Rahm 31.8%
Matti Schmid 11.9%
Justin Thomas 6.9%
$7,878,386 Vol.
$7,878,386 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
Aaron Rai
35%
Jon Rahm
32%
Matti Schmid
12%
Justin Thomas
7%
Nick Taylor
6%
Alex Smalley
6%
Rory McIlroy
2%
Ludvig Aberg
2%
Patrick Reed
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Aaron Rai 34.5%
Jon Rahm 31.8%
Matti Schmid 11.9%
Justin Thomas 6.9%
$7,878,386 Vol.
$7,878,386 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
Aaron Rai
$146,986 Vol.
35%
Jon Rahm
$498,170 Vol.
32%
Matti Schmid
$153,374 Vol.
12%
Justin Thomas
$151,908 Vol.
7%
Nick Taylor
$200,540 Vol.
6%
Alex Smalley
$333,887 Vol.
6%
Rory McIlroy
$774,681 Vol.
2%
Ludvig Aberg
$278,382 Vol.
2%
Patrick Reed
$161,498 Vol.
1%
Ben Griffin
$51,643 Vol.
1%
Justin Rose
$175,014 Vol.
1%
Cameron Smith
$130,842 Vol.
<1%
Xander Schauffele
$492,946 Vol.
<1%
Maverick McNealy
$85,713 Vol.
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
$77,678 Vol.
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
$744,589 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Young
$295,076 Vol.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$162,805 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
$72,804 Vol.
<1%
Brooks Koepka
$125,659 Vol.
<1%
Sam Burns
$54,571 Vol.
<1%
Chris Gotterup
$125,192 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$91,722 Vol.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$134,675 Vol.
<1%
Alex Noren
$4,596 Vol.
<1%
Corey Conners
$45,221 Vol.
<1%
Haotong Li
$195,013 Vol.
<1%
Sam Stevens
$39,906 Vol.
<1%
Sahith Theegala
$54,523 Vol.
<1%
Michael Brennan
$14,720 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Fox
$6,101 Vol.
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
$48,170 Vol.
<1%
John Keefer
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Novak
$935 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$5,544 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Brown
$8,963 Vol.
<1%
Min Woo Lee
$164,751 Vol.
<1%
Rickie Fowler
$88,039 Vol.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$66,525 Vol.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$61,267 Vol.
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
$163,744 Vol.
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$132,700 Vol.
<1%
Harris English
$59,500 Vol.
<1%
David Puig
$58,385 Vol.
<1%
Brian Harman
$2,486 Vol.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 Vol.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Berger
$26,588 Vol.
<1%
Bud Cauley
$42,600 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
Keith Mitchell
$1,956 Vol.
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely bunched implied probabilities for Aaron Rai at 34.3% and Jon Rahm at 30.3% capture the intense parity among frontrunners in the final round of the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Both golfers have demonstrated strong recent form and major resilience, with Rahm’s experience in high-stakes situations balancing Rai’s consistent ball-striking and momentum. A crowded chase group including Matti Schmid and Alex Smalley, who holds a narrow lead after three sub-70 rounds, adds further uncertainty as late surges, wind conditions, and precise approach play can quickly shift standings. This dynamic underscores how golf majors reward current positioning and mental steadiness over pre-tournament rankings.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volumen
$7,878,386Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely bunched implied probabilities for Aaron Rai at 34.3% and Jon Rahm at 30.3% capture the intense parity among frontrunners in the final round of the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Both golfers have demonstrated strong recent form and major resilience, with Rahm’s experience in high-stakes situations balancing Rai’s consistent ball-striking and momentum. A crowded chase group including Matti Schmid and Alex Smalley, who holds a narrow lead after three sub-70 rounds, adds further uncertainty as late surges, wind conditions, and precise approach play can quickly shift standings. This dynamic underscores how golf majors reward current positioning and mental steadiness over pre-tournament rankings.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,878,386Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The closely bunched implied probabilities for Aaron Rai at 34.3% and Jon Rahm at 30.3% capture the intense parity among frontrunners in the final round of the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Both golfers have demonstrated strong recent form and major resilience, with Rahm’s experience in high-stakes situations balancing Rai’s consistent ball-striking and momentum. A crowded chase group including Matti Schmid and Alex Smalley, who holds a narrow lead after three sub-70 rounds, adds further uncertainty as late surges, wind conditions, and precise approach play can quickly shift standings. This dynamic underscores how golf majors reward current positioning and mental steadiness over pre-tournament rankings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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