The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open major with closely bunched implied probabilities at the top, as Alex Smalley, Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy trade narrow leads in trader consensus. This tight positioning reflects the event’s depth, where course conditions at the host venue, recent PGA Tour form, and major-championship experience can elevate several players on any given week. Established names like Xander Schauffele and Scottie Scheffler sit just behind amid strong season-long results, while a long tail of contenders maintains realistic upset potential through strong ball-striking or putting metrics. The bunched pricing captures how quickly momentum shifts in stroke-play events and how few golfers enter with prohibitive advantages.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAlex Smalley 16.4%
Jon Rahm 14.9%
Ludvig Aberg 14.0%
Rory McIlroy 12.7%
$6,129,803 Vol.
$6,129,803 Vol.
Alex Smalley
16%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
6%
Nick Taylor
5%
Patrick Reed
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 16.4%
Jon Rahm 14.9%
Ludvig Aberg 14.0%
Rory McIlroy 12.7%
$6,129,803 Vol.
$6,129,803 Vol.
Alex Smalley
16%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
6%
Nick Taylor
5%
Patrick Reed
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open major with closely bunched implied probabilities at the top, as Alex Smalley, Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy trade narrow leads in trader consensus. This tight positioning reflects the event’s depth, where course conditions at the host venue, recent PGA Tour form, and major-championship experience can elevate several players on any given week. Established names like Xander Schauffele and Scottie Scheffler sit just behind amid strong season-long results, while a long tail of contenders maintains realistic upset potential through strong ball-striking or putting metrics. The bunched pricing captures how quickly momentum shifts in stroke-play events and how few golfers enter with prohibitive advantages.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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