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Welt·RBA

Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?

icon for Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?
Welt·RBA

Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?

Juni 16

Aug. 11

Juni 16

Aug. 11

Keine Änderung 81%

Erhöhung 21%

Senkung <1%

Polymarket

$25,462 Vol.

Keine Änderung 81%

Erhöhung 21%

Senkung <1%

Polymarket

$25,462 Vol.

Senkung

$7,827 Vol.

<1%

Keine Änderung

$8,790 Vol.

81%

Erhöhung

$8,845 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change at the June 16 meeting, with an 81 percent implied probability. The latest March CPI reading of 4.6 percent, up sharply from 3.7 percent in February and driven by housing and energy costs, prompted the recent tightening, yet major banks including CBA, ANZ, and NAB now see sufficient restriction in place to pause and assess transmission effects on demand and inflation. Westpac remains an outlier forecasting further hikes, but broader market pricing and the RBA’s May Statement on Monetary Policy signal a data-dependent stance that reduces the odds of an immediate June increase to around 20 percent. Upcoming April CPI and labor market releases will be the key swing factors before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volumen
$25,462
Enddatum
16. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change at the June 16 meeting, with an 81 percent implied probability. The latest March CPI reading of 4.6 percent, up sharply from 3.7 percent in February and driven by housing and energy costs, prompted the recent tightening, yet major banks including CBA, ANZ, and NAB now see sufficient restriction in place to pause and assess transmission effects on demand and inflation. Westpac remains an outlier forecasting further hikes, but broader market pricing and the RBA’s May Statement on Monetary Policy signal a data-dependent stance that reduces the odds of an immediate June increase to around 20 percent. Upcoming April CPI and labor market releases will be the key swing factors before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volumen
$25,462
Enddatum
16. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Keine Änderung" mit 81%, gefolgt von „Erhöhung" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 81¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 81% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $25.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 19, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?" ist „Keine Änderung" mit 81%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 81% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Erhöhung" mit 21%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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