SpaceX's post-IPO share price volatility since the June 2026 listing at $135—briefly pushing market cap above $2 trillion before settling near $1.9 trillion—forms the core driver of closely matched trader probabilities across the $1.25–2.25 trillion bins for end-September 2026 resolution. Recent revenue growth from Starlink subscriptions, launch cadence metrics, and analyst estimates on margins versus high capital intensity inform the competitive positioning, with multiples reflecting uncertainty around profitability trajectories and competitive dynamics in satellite broadband. Key near-term catalysts include potential Q3 operational updates and any lockup-related flows that could influence price discovery in the coming weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpace Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
$1.50-$1.75T 81%
$1.75-$2.00T 46%
$1.00-$1.25T 42%
$1.25-$1.50T 41%
NEU
NEU
30. Sep. 2026
<$1.00T
28%
$1.00-$1.25T
42%
$1.25-$1.50T
41%
$1.50-$1.75T
81%
$1.75-$2.00T
46%
$2.00-$2.25T
40%
$2.25T+
40%
$1.50-$1.75T 81%
$1.75-$2.00T 46%
$1.00-$1.25T 42%
$1.25-$1.50T 41%
NEU
NEU
30. Sep. 2026
<$1.00T
$70 Vol.
28%
$1.00-$1.25T
$32 Vol.
42%
$1.25-$1.50T
$32 Vol.
41%
$1.50-$1.75T
$32 Vol.
81%
$1.75-$2.00T
$32 Vol.
46%
$2.00-$2.25T
$32 Vol.
40%
$2.25T+
$32 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price volatility since the June 2026 listing at $135—briefly pushing market cap above $2 trillion before settling near $1.9 trillion—forms the core driver of closely matched trader probabilities across the $1.25–2.25 trillion bins for end-September 2026 resolution. Recent revenue growth from Starlink subscriptions, launch cadence metrics, and analyst estimates on margins versus high capital intensity inform the competitive positioning, with multiples reflecting uncertainty around profitability trajectories and competitive dynamics in satellite broadband. Key near-term catalysts include potential Q3 operational updates and any lockup-related flows that could influence price discovery in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
Volumen
$262Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price volatility since the June 2026 listing at $135—briefly pushing market cap above $2 trillion before settling near $1.9 trillion—forms the core driver of closely matched trader probabilities across the $1.25–2.25 trillion bins for end-September 2026 resolution. Recent revenue growth from Starlink subscriptions, launch cadence metrics, and analyst estimates on margins versus high capital intensity inform the competitive positioning, with multiples reflecting uncertainty around profitability trajectories and competitive dynamics in satellite broadband. Key near-term catalysts include potential Q3 operational updates and any lockup-related flows that could influence price discovery in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volumen
$262Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's post-IPO share price volatility since the June 2026 listing at $135—briefly pushing market cap above $2 trillion before settling near $1.9 trillion—forms the core driver of closely matched trader probabilities across the $1.25–2.25 trillion bins for end-September 2026 resolution. Recent revenue growth from Starlink subscriptions, launch cadence metrics, and analyst estimates on margins versus high capital intensity inform the competitive positioning, with multiples reflecting uncertainty around profitability trajectories and competitive dynamics in satellite broadband. Key near-term catalysts include potential Q3 operational updates and any lockup-related flows that could influence price discovery in the coming weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
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