SpaceX (SPCX) trades near $1.85 trillion market cap following its June IPO priced at roughly $1.75 trillion. Trader sentiment reflected in the leading $2.25 trillion-plus and sub-$1 trillion outcomes centers on post-IPO volatility, including a sharp rebound from August lows near $1.43 trillion after the June 12 debut spike above $2.1 trillion. Primary drivers include Q2 revenue surging 92% year-over-year to $7.8 billion, Starlink subscriber growth, and heavy capex demands that sustain elevated multiples. The August 6 lock-up expiration releasing over 900 million shares has amplified near-term selling pressure and uncertainty through month-end, with implied probabilities capturing both continued risk-on momentum and potential further retracement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpace Exploration Technologies’s Market Cap end of August 2026?
<$1.00T 65%
$1.75-$2.00T 31%
$1.25-$1.50T 19%
$2.25T+ 19%
<$1.00T
65%
$1.00-$1.25T
17%
$1.25-$1.50T
19%
$1.50-$1.75T
9%
$1.75-$2.00T
31%
$2.00-$2.25T
11%
$2.25T+
19%
<$1.00T 65%
$1.75-$2.00T 31%
$1.25-$1.50T 19%
$2.25T+ 19%
<$1.00T
65%
$1.00-$1.25T
17%
$1.25-$1.50T
19%
$1.50-$1.75T
9%
$1.75-$2.00T
31%
$2.00-$2.25T
11%
$2.25T+
19%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) trades near $1.85 trillion market cap following its June IPO priced at roughly $1.75 trillion. Trader sentiment reflected in the leading $2.25 trillion-plus and sub-$1 trillion outcomes centers on post-IPO volatility, including a sharp rebound from August lows near $1.43 trillion after the June 12 debut spike above $2.1 trillion. Primary drivers include Q2 revenue surging 92% year-over-year to $7.8 billion, Starlink subscriber growth, and heavy capex demands that sustain elevated multiples. The August 6 lock-up expiration releasing over 900 million shares has amplified near-term selling pressure and uncertainty through month-end, with implied probabilities capturing both continued risk-on momentum and potential further retracement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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