SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $147.95 on September 4 amid post-IPO volatility, with the stock trading near 100x trailing revenue despite 92% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 to $7.81 billion. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 47.5–50% probabilities across the $155–165 bands centers on near-term catalysts including Starlink subscriber expansion, AI infrastructure commitments, and analyst price targets averaging $222. Key swing factors for the week of September 7 include the September 9 lock-up tranche releasing roughly 319 million shares, ongoing capital expenditure intensity exceeding 200% of quarterly revenue, and broader market sentiment toward high-growth aerospace and connectivity names. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty around execution risks and potential index-related flows while pricing in continued revenue momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert130-135 US-Dollar 42%
$160-$165 40%
$125-$130 26%
>170 $ 26%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
<125 $
23%
$125-$130
26%
130-135 US-Dollar
42%
$135-$140
10%
$140-$145
20%
$145–$150
25%
$150–$155
20%
155-160 $
11%
$160-$165
40%
165–170 $
24%
>170 $
26%
130-135 US-Dollar 42%
$160-$165 40%
$125-$130 26%
>170 $ 26%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
<125 $
$0 Vol.
23%
$125-$130
$0 Vol.
26%
130-135 US-Dollar
$0 Vol.
42%
$135-$140
$0 Vol.
10%
$140-$145
$0 Vol.
20%
$145–$150
$0 Vol.
25%
$150–$155
$0 Vol.
20%
155-160 $
$0 Vol.
11%
$160-$165
$0 Vol.
40%
165–170 $
$0 Vol.
24%
>170 $
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $147.95 on September 4 amid post-IPO volatility, with the stock trading near 100x trailing revenue despite 92% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 to $7.81 billion. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 47.5–50% probabilities across the $155–165 bands centers on near-term catalysts including Starlink subscriber expansion, AI infrastructure commitments, and analyst price targets averaging $222. Key swing factors for the week of September 7 include the September 9 lock-up tranche releasing roughly 319 million shares, ongoing capital expenditure intensity exceeding 200% of quarterly revenue, and broader market sentiment toward high-growth aerospace and connectivity names. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty around execution risks and potential index-related flows while pricing in continued revenue momentum.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $147.95 on September 4 amid post-IPO volatility, with the stock trading near 100x trailing revenue despite 92% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 to $7.81 billion. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 47.5–50% probabilities across the $155–165 bands centers on near-term catalysts including Starlink subscriber expansion, AI infrastructure commitments, and analyst price targets averaging $222. Key swing factors for the week of September 7 include the September 9 lock-up tranche releasing roughly 319 million shares, ongoing capital expenditure intensity exceeding 200% of quarterly revenue, and broader market sentiment toward high-growth aerospace and connectivity names. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty around execution risks and potential index-related flows while pricing in continued revenue momentum.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $147.95 on September 4 amid post-IPO volatility, with the stock trading near 100x trailing revenue despite 92% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 to $7.81 billion. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 47.5–50% probabilities across the $155–165 bands centers on near-term catalysts including Starlink subscriber expansion, AI infrastructure commitments, and analyst price targets averaging $222. Key swing factors for the week of September 7 include the September 9 lock-up tranche releasing roughly 319 million shares, ongoing capital expenditure intensity exceeding 200% of quarterly revenue, and broader market sentiment toward high-growth aerospace and connectivity names. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty around execution risks and potential index-related flows while pricing in continued revenue momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen