Recent record highs near 7,815 for the S&P 500 reflect cooling July CPI and PPI prints below consensus alongside the Fed's steady 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate, which has eased September hike odds to roughly 30–50%. Year-to-date gains of about 14% and resilient corporate earnings—particularly in technology and AI—have anchored trader sentiment toward the >8,000 outcome at 38% implied probability, consistent with several Wall Street year-end targets of 8,000–8,100. Geopolitical energy pressures and a divided FOMC keep downside risks priced in the lower brackets, while the proximity to year-end resolution highlights earnings momentum and any further inflation data as key swing factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWas wird der S&P 500 (SPX) Ende 2026 schließen?
Was wird der S&P 500 (SPX) Ende 2026 schließen?
>8.000 $ 38%
$7.500–$8.000 23%
$7.000–$7.500 17%
6.500–7.000 11%
$40,043 Vol.
$40,043 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Unter 6.000
8%
$6.000-$6.500
6%
6.500–7.000
11%
$7.000–$7.500
17%
$7.500–$8.000
23%
>8.000 $
38%
>8.000 $ 38%
$7.500–$8.000 23%
$7.000–$7.500 17%
6.500–7.000 11%
$40,043 Vol.
$40,043 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Unter 6.000
$20,712 Vol.
8%
$6.000-$6.500
$2,312 Vol.
6%
6.500–7.000
$4,408 Vol.
11%
$7.000–$7.500
$2,504 Vol.
17%
$7.500–$8.000
$4,060 Vol.
23%
>8.000 $
$6,048 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent record highs near 7,815 for the S&P 500 reflect cooling July CPI and PPI prints below consensus alongside the Fed's steady 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate, which has eased September hike odds to roughly 30–50%. Year-to-date gains of about 14% and resilient corporate earnings—particularly in technology and AI—have anchored trader sentiment toward the >8,000 outcome at 38% implied probability, consistent with several Wall Street year-end targets of 8,000–8,100. Geopolitical energy pressures and a divided FOMC keep downside risks priced in the lower brackets, while the proximity to year-end resolution highlights earnings momentum and any further inflation data as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Volumen
$40,043Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent record highs near 7,815 for the S&P 500 reflect cooling July CPI and PPI prints below consensus alongside the Fed's steady 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate, which has eased September hike odds to roughly 30–50%. Year-to-date gains of about 14% and resilient corporate earnings—particularly in technology and AI—have anchored trader sentiment toward the >8,000 outcome at 38% implied probability, consistent with several Wall Street year-end targets of 8,000–8,100. Geopolitical energy pressures and a divided FOMC keep downside risks priced in the lower brackets, while the proximity to year-end resolution highlights earnings momentum and any further inflation data as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$40,043Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent record highs near 7,815 for the S&P 500 reflect cooling July CPI and PPI prints below consensus alongside the Fed's steady 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate, which has eased September hike odds to roughly 30–50%. Year-to-date gains of about 14% and resilient corporate earnings—particularly in technology and AI—have anchored trader sentiment toward the >8,000 outcome at 38% implied probability, consistent with several Wall Street year-end targets of 8,000–8,100. Geopolitical energy pressures and a divided FOMC keep downside risks priced in the lower brackets, while the proximity to year-end resolution highlights earnings momentum and any further inflation data as key swing factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen