Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, propelled by a sharp Q1 surge exceeding 92,000 job cuts across over 100 companies, per Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp trackers—the highest quarterly total since 2024. Artificial intelligence efficiencies are the dominant catalyst, with Meta announcing up to 20,000 reductions, Microsoft offering voluntary retirements to 7% of U.S. staff, and cuts at Cloudflare, Coinbase, and Snap redirecting capital to AI infrastructure and data centers. March alone saw 45,000 losses amid ongoing restructuring; upcoming Q2 earnings from Amazon and Oracle could accelerate the pace, though economic softening might temper non-AI roles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSteigen
$25,123 Vol.
$25,123 Vol.
28. Feb. 2027
Steigen
$25,123 Vol.
$25,123 Vol.
28. Feb. 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, propelled by a sharp Q1 surge exceeding 92,000 job cuts across over 100 companies, per Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp trackers—the highest quarterly total since 2024. Artificial intelligence efficiencies are the dominant catalyst, with Meta announcing up to 20,000 reductions, Microsoft offering voluntary retirements to 7% of U.S. staff, and cuts at Cloudflare, Coinbase, and Snap redirecting capital to AI infrastructure and data centers. March alone saw 45,000 losses amid ongoing restructuring; upcoming Q2 earnings from Amazon and Oracle could accelerate the pace, though economic softening might temper non-AI roles.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volumen
$25,123Enddatum
28. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, propelled by a sharp Q1 surge exceeding 92,000 job cuts across over 100 companies, per Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp trackers—the highest quarterly total since 2024. Artificial intelligence efficiencies are the dominant catalyst, with Meta announcing up to 20,000 reductions, Microsoft offering voluntary retirements to 7% of U.S. staff, and cuts at Cloudflare, Coinbase, and Snap redirecting capital to AI infrastructure and data centers. March alone saw 45,000 losses amid ongoing restructuring; upcoming Q2 earnings from Amazon and Oracle could accelerate the pace, though economic softening might temper non-AI roles.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$25,123Enddatum
28. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, propelled by a sharp Q1 surge exceeding 92,000 job cuts across over 100 companies, per Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp trackers—the highest quarterly total since 2024. Artificial intelligence efficiencies are the dominant catalyst, with Meta announcing up to 20,000 reductions, Microsoft offering voluntary retirements to 7% of U.S. staff, and cuts at Cloudflare, Coinbase, and Snap redirecting capital to AI infrastructure and data centers. March alone saw 45,000 losses amid ongoing restructuring; upcoming Q2 earnings from Amazon and Oracle could accelerate the pace, though economic softening might temper non-AI roles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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