Magnus Carlsen leads the field at 17% implied probability due to his recent Titled Tuesday victory on August 4 with 9.5/11 and consistent elite online blitz form. Hikaru Nakamura follows at 9% thanks to his all-time record of wins in the arena, though with fewer 2026 titles. A broad group of grandmasters including Aleksei Sarana, Jan-Krzysztof Duda, and Alireza Firouzja cluster between 5-7% on the strength of multiple recent top finishes and strong Chess.com ratings. Key differentiators include proven arena consistency under time pressure, head-to-head results in similar Swiss-system events, and scheduling availability for the Tuesday format, which favors players with heavy online experience over sporadic OTB participants. The wide distribution reflects the event's depth, where upsets remain common even among top seeds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMagnus Carlsen 35%
Hikaru Nakamura 11%
Aleksei Sarana 6.9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda 5.8%
Magnus Carlsen
19%
Hikaru Nakamura
11%
Aleksei Sarana
7%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
6%
Jose Martinez
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
David Anton
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Wesley So
4%
Ding Liren
4%
Vladimir Fedoseev
4%
Brandon Jacobson
4%
Awonder Liang
4%
Tuomas Turunen
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
4%
Sam Sevian
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
4%
Magnus Carlsen 35%
Hikaru Nakamura 11%
Aleksei Sarana 6.9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda 5.8%
Magnus Carlsen
19%
Hikaru Nakamura
11%
Aleksei Sarana
7%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
6%
Jose Martinez
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
David Anton
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Wesley So
4%
Ding Liren
4%
Vladimir Fedoseev
4%
Brandon Jacobson
4%
Awonder Liang
4%
Tuomas Turunen
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
4%
Sam Sevian
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
4%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen leads the field at 17% implied probability due to his recent Titled Tuesday victory on August 4 with 9.5/11 and consistent elite online blitz form. Hikaru Nakamura follows at 9% thanks to his all-time record of wins in the arena, though with fewer 2026 titles. A broad group of grandmasters including Aleksei Sarana, Jan-Krzysztof Duda, and Alireza Firouzja cluster between 5-7% on the strength of multiple recent top finishes and strong Chess.com ratings. Key differentiators include proven arena consistency under time pressure, head-to-head results in similar Swiss-system events, and scheduling availability for the Tuesday format, which favors players with heavy online experience over sporadic OTB participants. The wide distribution reflects the event's depth, where upsets remain common even among top seeds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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