Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early June 2026, with several surveys recording figures between 35% and 39%. The ongoing conflict in Iran and associated economic pressures, particularly elevated gas prices and inflation concerns, have weighed on public sentiment and contributed to net disapproval readings near or above 20 points. With the June 19 measurement just days away, traders assign roughly equal probabilities across adjacent outcome bins clustered in the upper 30s, reflecting limited expected movement absent a major catalyst. Scheduled economic data releases or any swift diplomatic developments related to Iran could shift daily tracking polls enough to separate the leading ranges before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTrump approval rating on June 19?
<38.0 42%
38.0–38.4 42%
38.5–38.9 42%
39.0–39.4 42%
<38.0
42%
38.0–38.4
42%
38.5–38.9
42%
39.0–39.4
42%
39.5–39.9
42%
40,0+
42%
<38.0 42%
38.0–38.4 42%
38.5–38.9 42%
39.0–39.4 42%
<38.0
42%
38.0–38.4
42%
38.5–38.9
42%
39.0–39.4
42%
39.5–39.9
42%
40,0+
42%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early June 2026, with several surveys recording figures between 35% and 39%. The ongoing conflict in Iran and associated economic pressures, particularly elevated gas prices and inflation concerns, have weighed on public sentiment and contributed to net disapproval readings near or above 20 points. With the June 19 measurement just days away, traders assign roughly equal probabilities across adjacent outcome bins clustered in the upper 30s, reflecting limited expected movement absent a major catalyst. Scheduled economic data releases or any swift diplomatic developments related to Iran could shift daily tracking polls enough to separate the leading ranges before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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