Turkey's ruling AKP has advanced preparatory steps toward a new constitution since 2025, including legal drafting teams, parliamentary commission work, and repeated public calls by President Erdoğan and Speaker Kurtulmuş for a "civilian" charter to replace the 1980 document. These efforts aim to address perceived military-era elements and have been tied to broader political goals such as judicial reforms and national unity. However, passage requires at least 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 for direct amendment, thresholds the AKP-MHP coalition has not yet secured amid a fragmented opposition and competing priorities. As of mid-2026, no formal legislative proposal or timeline for a vote has materialized, leaving trader consensus heavily weighted against concrete movement this year despite optimistic rhetoric.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
18% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
18% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey's ruling AKP has advanced preparatory steps toward a new constitution since 2025, including legal drafting teams, parliamentary commission work, and repeated public calls by President Erdoğan and Speaker Kurtulmuş for a "civilian" charter to replace the 1980 document. These efforts aim to address perceived military-era elements and have been tied to broader political goals such as judicial reforms and national unity. However, passage requires at least 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 for direct amendment, thresholds the AKP-MHP coalition has not yet secured amid a fragmented opposition and competing priorities. As of mid-2026, no formal legislative proposal or timeline for a vote has materialized, leaving trader consensus heavily weighted against concrete movement this year despite optimistic rhetoric.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$6,165Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey's ruling AKP has advanced preparatory steps toward a new constitution since 2025, including legal drafting teams, parliamentary commission work, and repeated public calls by President Erdoğan and Speaker Kurtulmuş for a "civilian" charter to replace the 1980 document. These efforts aim to address perceived military-era elements and have been tied to broader political goals such as judicial reforms and national unity. However, passage requires at least 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 for direct amendment, thresholds the AKP-MHP coalition has not yet secured amid a fragmented opposition and competing priorities. As of mid-2026, no formal legislative proposal or timeline for a vote has materialized, leaving trader consensus heavily weighted against concrete movement this year despite optimistic rhetoric.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,165Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkey's ruling AKP has advanced preparatory steps toward a new constitution since 2025, including legal drafting teams, parliamentary commission work, and repeated public calls by President Erdoğan and Speaker Kurtulmuş for a "civilian" charter to replace the 1980 document. These efforts aim to address perceived military-era elements and have been tied to broader political goals such as judicial reforms and national unity. However, passage requires at least 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 for direct amendment, thresholds the AKP-MHP coalition has not yet secured amid a fragmented opposition and competing priorities. As of mid-2026, no formal legislative proposal or timeline for a vote has materialized, leaving trader consensus heavily weighted against concrete movement this year despite optimistic rhetoric.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen