Arnold Allen enters this featherweight main event at the UFC Apex with three losses in his last four outings, including a recent defeat to Jean Silva that has placed him in a gatekeeper role despite his No. 7 ranking. Melquizael Costa arrives on a six-fight win streak and ranked No. 12, bringing momentum and a stylistic mix of striking volume and finishing power that has tested top competition. Both fighters weighed in without issue on Friday, confirming no late changes to the five-round bout. Historical patterns in similar Apex main events favor experience, yet Costa’s recent form has narrowed the implied probability gap among traders reflecting the closely contested matchup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertThis market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arnold Allen defeats Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melquizael Costa defeats Arnold Allen at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
“Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
“Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Arnold Allen enters this featherweight main event at the UFC Apex with three losses in his last four outings, including a recent defeat to Jean Silva that has placed him in a gatekeeper role despite his No. 7 ranking. Melquizael Costa arrives on a six-fight win streak and ranked No. 12, bringing momentum and a stylistic mix of striking volume and finishing power that has tested top competition. Both fighters weighed in without issue on Friday, confirming no late changes to the five-round bout. Historical patterns in similar Apex main events favor experience, yet Costa’s recent form has narrowed the implied probability gap among traders reflecting the closely contested matchup.
This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volumen
$246,434Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arnold Allen defeats Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melquizael Costa defeats Arnold Allen at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
“Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
“Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Arnold Allen enters this featherweight main event at the UFC Apex with three losses in his last four outings, including a recent defeat to Jean Silva that has placed him in a gatekeeper role despite his No. 7 ranking. Melquizael Costa arrives on a six-fight win streak and ranked No. 12, bringing momentum and a stylistic mix of striking volume and finishing power that has tested top competition. Both fighters weighed in without issue on Friday, confirming no late changes to the five-round bout. Historical patterns in similar Apex main events favor experience, yet Costa’s recent form has narrowed the implied probability gap among traders reflecting the closely contested matchup.
This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volumen
$246,434Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Arnold Allen enters this featherweight main event at the UFC Apex with three losses in his last four outings, including a recent defeat to Jean Silva that has placed him in a gatekeeper role despite his No. 7 ranking. Melquizael Costa arrives on a six-fight win streak and ranked No. 12, bringing momentum and a stylistic mix of striking volume and finishing power that has tested top competition. Both fighters weighed in without issue on Friday, confirming no late changes to the five-round bout. Historical patterns in similar Apex main events favor experience, yet Costa’s recent form has narrowed the implied probability gap among traders reflecting the closely contested matchup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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