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icon for U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Politics·Venezuela

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

icon for U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Politics·Venezuela

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Dez. 31

Dez. 31

10% Chance
Polymarket

$110,840 Vol.

10% Chance
Polymarket

$110,840 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Trump administration has prioritized engagement with acting Venezuelan President Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, citing practical needs for oil-sector cooperation and regional stability amid high global energy prices. President Trump has repeatedly stated that opposition leader María Corina Machado lacks adequate domestic support or respect to lead, opting instead for phased stabilization under the current interim government rather than immediate recognition of Machado. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has echoed the need for sequential steps before any transition, while Machado—despite meetings with Trump and lawmakers—has focused on her planned return and presidential candidacy later in 2026. These policy choices and public positions have sustained trader consensus against U.S. recognition of Machado by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$110,840
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Trump administration has prioritized engagement with acting Venezuelan President Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, citing practical needs for oil-sector cooperation and regional stability amid high global energy prices. President Trump has repeatedly stated that opposition leader María Corina Machado lacks adequate domestic support or respect to lead, opting instead for phased stabilization under the current interim government rather than immediate recognition of Machado. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has echoed the need for sequential steps before any transition, while Machado—despite meetings with Trump and lawmakers—has focused on her planned return and presidential candidacy later in 2026. These policy choices and public positions have sustained trader consensus against U.S. recognition of Machado by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$110,840
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 10% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 10¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 10%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $110.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 30, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" liegt bei 10% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 10% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

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