**Ongoing sanctions, sharply reduced Iranian oil exports amid maritime blockades, and persistent geopolitical tensions continue to constrain foreign-currency inflows, supporting a free-market USD/IRR rate near current levels around 2.2–2.4 million rials.** Recent reports show Iranian crude loadings falling to roughly 200,000–250,000 barrels per day in recent months, down dramatically from earlier 2026 averages, limiting revenue and heightening pressure on the rial through inflation and reduced reserves. Central bank interventions, including injections of dollars from accumulated reserves, have helped stabilize the rate near the 2.2–2.5 million band in the weeks leading into late September. With resolution imminent, traders appear to view the absence of immediate major diplomatic breakthroughs or further escalations as the dominant factor keeping probabilities concentrated in the leading outcome range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert2,2 bis 2,5 Mio. 65%
2,5 bis 2,8 Mio. 18%
<2,2 Mio. 11%
2,8 bis 3,1 Mio. 4.2%
$27,635 Vol.
$27,635 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
<2,2 Mio.
11%
2,2 bis 2,5 Mio.
65%
2,5 bis 2,8 Mio.
18%
2,8 bis 3,1 Mio.
4%
3,1 Mio.+
1%
2,2 bis 2,5 Mio. 65%
2,5 bis 2,8 Mio. 18%
<2,2 Mio. 11%
2,8 bis 3,1 Mio. 4.2%
$27,635 Vol.
$27,635 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
<2,2 Mio.
$4,413 Vol.
11%
2,2 bis 2,5 Mio.
$6,917 Vol.
65%
2,5 bis 2,8 Mio.
$11,679 Vol.
18%
2,8 bis 3,1 Mio.
$3,075 Vol.
4%
3,1 Mio.+
$1,552 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing sanctions, sharply reduced Iranian oil exports amid maritime blockades, and persistent geopolitical tensions continue to constrain foreign-currency inflows, supporting a free-market USD/IRR rate near current levels around 2.2–2.4 million rials.**
Recent reports show Iranian crude loadings falling to roughly 200,000–250,000 barrels per day in recent months, down dramatically from earlier 2026 averages, limiting revenue and heightening pressure on the rial through inflation and reduced reserves. Central bank interventions, including injections of dollars from accumulated reserves, have helped stabilize the rate near the 2.2–2.5 million band in the weeks leading into late September. With resolution imminent, traders appear to view the absence of immediate major diplomatic breakthroughs or further escalations as the dominant factor keeping probabilities concentrated in the leading outcome range.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Volumen
$27,635Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing sanctions, sharply reduced Iranian oil exports amid maritime blockades, and persistent geopolitical tensions continue to constrain foreign-currency inflows, supporting a free-market USD/IRR rate near current levels around 2.2–2.4 million rials.**
Recent reports show Iranian crude loadings falling to roughly 200,000–250,000 barrels per day in recent months, down dramatically from earlier 2026 averages, limiting revenue and heightening pressure on the rial through inflation and reduced reserves. Central bank interventions, including injections of dollars from accumulated reserves, have helped stabilize the rate near the 2.2–2.5 million band in the weeks leading into late September. With resolution imminent, traders appear to view the absence of immediate major diplomatic breakthroughs or further escalations as the dominant factor keeping probabilities concentrated in the leading outcome range.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$27,635Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing sanctions, sharply reduced Iranian oil exports amid maritime blockades, and persistent geopolitical tensions continue to constrain foreign-currency inflows, supporting a free-market USD/IRR rate near current levels around 2.2–2.4 million rials.** Recent reports show Iranian crude loadings falling to roughly 200,000–250,000 barrels per day in recent months, down dramatically from earlier 2026 averages, limiting revenue and heightening pressure on the rial through inflation and reduced reserves. Central bank interventions, including injections of dollars from accumulated reserves, have helped stabilize the rate near the 2.2–2.5 million band in the weeks leading into late September. With resolution imminent, traders appear to view the absence of immediate major diplomatic breakthroughs or further escalations as the dominant factor keeping probabilities concentrated in the leading outcome range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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