Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the top AI model by end of May due to its Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 releases, which have posted industry-leading scores on SWE-bench Verified and agentic coding benchmarks while introducing expanded 1M-token context and autonomous workflow tools. These updates have strengthened Claude’s edge in complex software engineering and multi-step reasoning tasks compared with recent GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro drops. Traders view the narrow gap between closed frontier models as favoring Anthropic’s consistent benchmark momentum and enterprise focus through mid-May. Key near-term catalysts include any final benchmark updates or capability demonstrations before the May 31 resolution window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnthropic 85%
Google 10%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,944,199 Vol.
$8,944,199 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
Anthropic
85%
10%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 85%
Google 10%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,944,199 Vol.
$8,944,199 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
Anthropic
$663,963 Vol.
85%
$606,378 Vol.
10%
OpenAI
$762,684 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$555,434 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$526,017 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$582,405 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$666,375 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$518,378 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$558,159 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$475,923 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$470,637 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$406,756 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,422,640 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$311,909 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$416,851 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the top AI model by end of May due to its Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 releases, which have posted industry-leading scores on SWE-bench Verified and agentic coding benchmarks while introducing expanded 1M-token context and autonomous workflow tools. These updates have strengthened Claude’s edge in complex software engineering and multi-step reasoning tasks compared with recent GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro drops. Traders view the narrow gap between closed frontier models as favoring Anthropic’s consistent benchmark momentum and enterprise focus through mid-May. Key near-term catalysts include any final benchmark updates or capability demonstrations before the May 31 resolution window closes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Volumen
$8,944,199Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the top AI model by end of May due to its Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 releases, which have posted industry-leading scores on SWE-bench Verified and agentic coding benchmarks while introducing expanded 1M-token context and autonomous workflow tools. These updates have strengthened Claude’s edge in complex software engineering and multi-step reasoning tasks compared with recent GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro drops. Traders view the narrow gap between closed frontier models as favoring Anthropic’s consistent benchmark momentum and enterprise focus through mid-May. Key near-term catalysts include any final benchmark updates or capability demonstrations before the May 31 resolution window closes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$8,944,199Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the top AI model by end of May due to its Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 releases, which have posted industry-leading scores on SWE-bench Verified and agentic coding benchmarks while introducing expanded 1M-token context and autonomous workflow tools. These updates have strengthened Claude’s edge in complex software engineering and multi-step reasoning tasks compared with recent GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro drops. Traders view the narrow gap between closed frontier models as favoring Anthropic’s consistent benchmark momentum and enterprise focus through mid-May. Key near-term catalysts include any final benchmark updates or capability demonstrations before the May 31 resolution window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen