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Politik·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Politik·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$262,781 Vol.

3. Nov. 2026
Polymarket

$262,781 Vol.

Polymarket

California

$12,000 Vol.

97%

Texas

$5,235 Vol.

94%

North Carolina

$8,686 Vol.

98%

Ohio

$6,230 Vol.

94%

Utah

$61,108 Vol.

88%

Florida

$1,177 Vol.

63%

Louisiana

$15,717 Vol.

90%

Missouri

$3,904 Vol.

86%

Virginia

$6,915 Vol.

7%

Alabama

$14,782 Vol.

81%

South Carolina

$22,025 Vol.

80%

Georgia

$3,063 Vol.

14%

Kansas

$5,162 Vol.

9%

New Jersey

$5,044 Vol.

6%

Indiana

$28,282 Vol.

6%

Washington

$5,625 Vol.

7%

Nebraska

$6,500 Vol.

6%

Illinois

$10,019 Vol.

3%

Minnesota

$9,398 Vol.

3%

New York

$8,026 Vol.

13%

Maryland

$8,668 Vol.

17%

Wisconsin

$15,218 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states have advanced mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, driven by legislative votes, gubernatorial signings, and court rulings that could alter district lines in time for primaries and general election balloting. Republican-led efforts gained momentum after President Trump encouraged maps favoring GOP candidates, resulting in new maps enacted in Texas, Florida, Tennessee, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio, with Republican seat gains projected in several cases. Democratic responses included California voters approving a temporary override of the independent commission, while recent Supreme Court decisions on Voting Rights Act challenges prompted Louisiana and Alabama to pursue revised maps. Virginia’s Supreme Court struck down a Democratic-backed plan in early May, and South Carolina’s governor called a special session to consider further changes. These developments, alongside pending litigation and primary scheduling adjustments, shape trader assessments of which states will implement updated congressional districts by November.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$262,781
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states have advanced mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, driven by legislative votes, gubernatorial signings, and court rulings that could alter district lines in time for primaries and general election balloting. Republican-led efforts gained momentum after President Trump encouraged maps favoring GOP candidates, resulting in new maps enacted in Texas, Florida, Tennessee, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio, with Republican seat gains projected in several cases. Democratic responses included California voters approving a temporary override of the independent commission, while recent Supreme Court decisions on Voting Rights Act challenges prompted Louisiana and Alabama to pursue revised maps. Virginia’s Supreme Court struck down a Democratic-backed plan in early May, and South Carolina’s governor called a special session to consider further changes. These developments, alongside pending litigation and primary scheduling adjustments, shape trader assessments of which states will implement updated congressional districts by November.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$262,781
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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