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Politics·Midterms

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

icon for New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
Politics·Midterms

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

3% Chance
Polymarket

$69,400 Vol.

3% Chance
Polymarket

$69,400 Vol.

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map through the legislature in early 2026, with voters narrowly approving the referendum on April 21 to enable mid-decade redistricting favoring Democratic-leaning districts. However, the Virginia Supreme Court ruled on May 8 that procedural violations invalidated the amendment and referendum results. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review in mid-May, leaving the existing court-drawn map from the 2021 redistricting cycle in place. With primaries scheduled for August and the general election in November, this timeline and final judicial outcome underpin trader consensus against a new map for the midterms, though additional litigation or legislative action before candidate filing deadlines could theoretically reopen the issue.

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.

The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$69,400
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map through the legislature in early 2026, with voters narrowly approving the referendum on April 21 to enable mid-decade redistricting favoring Democratic-leaning districts. However, the Virginia Supreme Court ruled on May 8 that procedural violations invalidated the amendment and referendum results. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review in mid-May, leaving the existing court-drawn map from the 2021 redistricting cycle in place. With primaries scheduled for August and the general election in November, this timeline and final judicial outcome underpin trader consensus against a new map for the midterms, though additional litigation or legislative action before candidate filing deadlines could theoretically reopen the issue.

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.

The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$69,400
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?" liegt bei 3% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 3% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

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