The Illinois 11th congressional district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Bill Foster, first elected in 2008 and re-elected in 2024 with 55.6 percent, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jeffrey Walter emerged from a contested primary. The district's western Chicago suburbs and exurbs, including Aurora and Naperville, feature demographics and voting patterns that have produced reliable Democratic margins. With five months until the November 3 general election, limited campaign developments or national shifts have altered this positioning. A late Republican surge tied to broader midterm dynamics, an unforeseen controversy affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in key precincts represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIL-11 House Election Winner
IL-11 House Election Winner
$14,665 Vol.
$14,665 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$14,665 Vol.
$14,665 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Democratic Party
$4,187 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$10,479 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 11th congressional district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Bill Foster, first elected in 2008 and re-elected in 2024 with 55.6 percent, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jeffrey Walter emerged from a contested primary. The district's western Chicago suburbs and exurbs, including Aurora and Naperville, feature demographics and voting patterns that have produced reliable Democratic margins. With five months until the November 3 general election, limited campaign developments or national shifts have altered this positioning. A late Republican surge tied to broader midterm dynamics, an unforeseen controversy affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in key precincts represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$14,665Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 11th congressional district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Bill Foster, first elected in 2008 and re-elected in 2024 with 55.6 percent, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jeffrey Walter emerged from a contested primary. The district's western Chicago suburbs and exurbs, including Aurora and Naperville, feature demographics and voting patterns that have produced reliable Democratic margins. With five months until the November 3 general election, limited campaign developments or national shifts have altered this positioning. A late Republican surge tied to broader midterm dynamics, an unforeseen controversy affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in key precincts represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,665Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 11th congressional district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Bill Foster, first elected in 2008 and re-elected in 2024 with 55.6 percent, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jeffrey Walter emerged from a contested primary. The district's western Chicago suburbs and exurbs, including Aurora and Naperville, feature demographics and voting patterns that have produced reliable Democratic margins. With five months until the November 3 general election, limited campaign developments or national shifts have altered this positioning. A late Republican surge tied to broader midterm dynamics, an unforeseen controversy affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in key precincts represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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