Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district heading into the 2026 general election. The seat's D+13 partisan voting index, strong Democratic voter registration edge, and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters like Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato reflect its status as a reliably blue district spanning southern Arizona along the Mexico border. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 93.5% because primary dynamics and the absence of competitive Republican challengers reinforce continuity, with the July 21 primary and November general still months away. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong GOP turnout could shift odds, though historical patterns in comparable districts show limited scope for reversal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$13,770 Vol.
$13,770 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$13,770 Vol.
$13,770 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Democratic Party
$5,691 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$8,079 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district heading into the 2026 general election. The seat's D+13 partisan voting index, strong Democratic voter registration edge, and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters like Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato reflect its status as a reliably blue district spanning southern Arizona along the Mexico border. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 93.5% because primary dynamics and the absence of competitive Republican challengers reinforce continuity, with the July 21 primary and November general still months away. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong GOP turnout could shift odds, though historical patterns in comparable districts show limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$13,770Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district heading into the 2026 general election. The seat's D+13 partisan voting index, strong Democratic voter registration edge, and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters like Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato reflect its status as a reliably blue district spanning southern Arizona along the Mexico border. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 93.5% because primary dynamics and the absence of competitive Republican challengers reinforce continuity, with the July 21 primary and November general still months away. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong GOP turnout could shift odds, though historical patterns in comparable districts show limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,770Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district heading into the 2026 general election. The seat's D+13 partisan voting index, strong Democratic voter registration edge, and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters like Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato reflect its status as a reliably blue district spanning southern Arizona along the Mexico border. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 93.5% because primary dynamics and the absence of competitive Republican challengers reinforce continuity, with the July 21 primary and November general still months away. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong GOP turnout could shift odds, though historical patterns in comparable districts show limited scope for reversal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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