Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has seen his implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination rise sharply in prediction markets following the November 2026 midterms, during which Republicans faced major national losses while Florida remained a GOP stronghold. Traders have responded to DeSantis's post-election media appearances, including on CNN and podcasts, where he highlighted the state's results and called for the party to reassess its direction. Reports indicate he is exploring options such as a think tank and potential campaign infrastructure after leaving office in January, though he has denied specific outreach to consultants. Recent polls place him in the low double digits behind Vice President J.D. Vance, with Marco Rubio close in some surveys. Key factors ahead include DeSantis's term-limited status, any early endorsements or policy positioning, and shifts in Republican voter sentiment before primary filing deadlines.
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