Recent polling averages place the PP at roughly 31–32% and Vox near 19%, projecting 198–204 combined seats in the 350-seat Congress—well above the 176-seat absolute majority threshold—while the PSOE-led bloc remains around 146–150 seats. The November 29 snap election, called after housing decree defeats, has amplified opposition momentum, with Vox doubling its 2023 representation in most forecasts. PP–Vox coordination talks on Senate lists and selective constituency arrangements further support the bloc’s path to a governing majority. Trader consensus at 79% reflects these persistent seat projections across multiple pollsters and simulations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertView resolved

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