Recent polling averages place Spain’s center-right People’s Party (PP) on roughly 31–33% and far-right Vox on 18–19%, projecting a combined 190–210 seats in the 350-seat Congress—well above the 176-seat threshold for an absolute majority ahead of the November 29 snap election. This positioning follows Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s October 5 call for early voting after parliament rejected his housing decrees amid nationwide protests over rents and evictions. Vox has more than doubled its 2023 seat total in most projections while the left remains divided, with Sumar and Podemos running separately and regional allies fragmented. These trends have produced consistent seat forecasts favoring a PP-Vox majority in nearly all recent simulations, though turnout shifts or late campaign developments could still narrow margins.