Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 78 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Kaylee Peterson in the November general election. Recent July polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major competitive shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus at 94.8 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could alter the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan tilt.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertID-01 Wahlsieger
ID-01 Wahlsieger
$48,155 Vol.
$48,155 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
95%
Demokratische Partei
4%
$48,155 Vol.
$48,155 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$32,526 Vol.
95%
Demokratische Partei
$15,629 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 78 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Kaylee Peterson in the November general election. Recent July polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major competitive shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus at 94.8 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could alter the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$48,155Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 78 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Kaylee Peterson in the November general election. Recent July polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major competitive shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus at 94.8 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could alter the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$48,155Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 78 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Kaylee Peterson in the November general election. Recent July polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major competitive shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus at 94.8 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could alter the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan tilt.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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