Islam Makhachev holds a commanding position as the reigning UFC welterweight champion following his November 2025 title win and unanimous decision defense against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 in August 2026, extending his record win streak. Traders price his retention through year-end at 90.8% based on his elite wrestling, finishing ability across weight classes, and the absence of immediate threats after strong recent performances from contenders like Carlos Prates and Michael Morales. Other outcomes, including Prates at 7.1%, reflect realistic but distant upset paths via injuries, scheduling changes, or a single high-stakes loss that could open the division before December 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIslam Makhachev 91.1%
Carlos Prates 6.5%
Ian Machado Garry 1.1%
Michael Morales <1%
$631,308 Vol.
$631,308 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
91%
Carlos Prates
6%
Ian Machado Garry
1%
Michael Morales
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Gabriel Bonfim
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Islam Makhachev 91.1%
Carlos Prates 6.5%
Ian Machado Garry 1.1%
Michael Morales <1%
$631,308 Vol.
$631,308 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
91%
Carlos Prates
6%
Ian Machado Garry
1%
Michael Morales
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Gabriel Bonfim
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds a commanding position as the reigning UFC welterweight champion following his November 2025 title win and unanimous decision defense against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 in August 2026, extending his record win streak. Traders price his retention through year-end at 90.8% based on his elite wrestling, finishing ability across weight classes, and the absence of immediate threats after strong recent performances from contenders like Carlos Prates and Michael Morales. Other outcomes, including Prates at 7.1%, reflect realistic but distant upset paths via injuries, scheduling changes, or a single high-stakes loss that could open the division before December 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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