Islam Makhachev holds the welterweight title after his 2025 victory over Jack Della Maddalena, anchoring his 81% implied probability through elite wrestling and grappling that have defined his recent dominance. Traders view his upcoming summer title defense as a key factor in solidifying his position through year-end. Carlos Prates climbed to 18.9% following his May TKO of Della Maddalena at UFC Perth, while Ian Machado Garry and undefeated Michael Morales sit at 15.4% and 7.1% on the strength of statement wins and perfect UFC records that highlight their contender status. Shavkat Rakhmonov’s recovery from a prolonged knee injury and the broader depth of the division further shape this competitive outlook among traders assessing 2026 retention odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIslam Makhachev 81%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Ian Machado Garry 18.6%
Michael Morales 7.2%
$40,303 Vol.
$40,303 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
81%
Carlos Prates
19%
Ian Machado Garry
15%
Michael Morales
7%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Islam Makhachev 81%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Ian Machado Garry 18.6%
Michael Morales 7.2%
$40,303 Vol.
$40,303 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
81%
Carlos Prates
19%
Ian Machado Garry
15%
Michael Morales
7%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds the welterweight title after his 2025 victory over Jack Della Maddalena, anchoring his 81% implied probability through elite wrestling and grappling that have defined his recent dominance. Traders view his upcoming summer title defense as a key factor in solidifying his position through year-end. Carlos Prates climbed to 18.9% following his May TKO of Della Maddalena at UFC Perth, while Ian Machado Garry and undefeated Michael Morales sit at 15.4% and 7.1% on the strength of statement wins and perfect UFC records that highlight their contender status. Shavkat Rakhmonov’s recovery from a prolonged knee injury and the broader depth of the division further shape this competitive outlook among traders assessing 2026 retention odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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