This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Jun 19 2026
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman congratulates Pakistan PM on U.S.-Iran peace deal
Mohammed bin Salman dips to 5%1%
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman expressed support for the U.S.-Iran peace agreement and praised Pakistan's mediation efforts. This endorsement slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 18 2026
Trump envoy Steve Witkoff briefs US Congress on Iran deal details including nuclear inspections
Steve Witkoff plunges to 3%42%
Witkoff revealed that Iran will invite the IAEA to inspect nuclear sites, indicating ongoing cooperation post-deal; his role as special envoy was critical but he was not a signatory, reflected in low market prices.
Jun 18 2026
Marco Rubio remains silent amid growing criticism of Iran deal
Secretary of State Marco Rubio maintained a low profile as criticism of the Iran deal intensified, signaling political caution. This sustained low market confidence in Rubio as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani discusses US-Iran ceasefire and regional stability with French President Macron
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 8%37%
Sheikh Tamim's diplomatic engagement and mediation efforts were recognized as important for regional peace, though he was not a signatory, reflected in low market confidence.
Jun 17 2026
White House explores meeting to revive U.S.-Iran negotiations
Abbas Araghchi drops to 11%14%
The White House considered a meeting between envoy Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to revive negotiations and prevent further conflict, indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts. This maintained market uncertainty for Araghchi as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
U.S. and Iran sign initial deal at Palace of Versailles, Trump physically signs and hands pen to Rubio
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 14%76%
President Donald Trump signed the U.S.-Iran agreement at the Palace of Versailles in France, handing the document and pen to Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf also signed the deal digitally. This event confirmed Ghalibaf as the signatory and caused a sharp drop in confidence for other potential signatories.
Jun 17 2026
Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian sign US-Iran peace memorandum at Versailles
Marco Rubio plunges to 7%39%
President Trump signed the peace deal at the Palace of Versailles, handing the document to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Iranian President Pezeshkian signed in Tehran, confirming the deal's execution.
Jun 17 2026
Democrats demand briefing from Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum
Top Democrats requested an immediate briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the memorandum of understanding with Iran, highlighting political scrutiny and pressure. This event contributed to market skepticism about Rubio's role as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Top Democrats demand briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding
Marco Rubio plunges to 11%35%
Congressional Democrats requested a briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, reflecting scrutiny and skepticism about the deal. Rubio's role as Secretary of State and his involvement in the deal affected market confidence in him as a signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials express skepticism over Iran deal
Marco Rubio dips to 9%2%
Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials voiced doubts about Iran's commitment to the memorandum of understanding, reflecting internal U.S. skepticism. This caused a decline in market confidence for Rubio as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Saudi Cabinet chaired by Mohammed bin Salman welcomes US-Iran agreement
Mohammed bin Salman plunges to 5%41%
Saudi Arabia's official support for the US-Iran deal slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Qatar Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Trump discuss regional tensions and diplomatic efforts
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 25%20%
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Donald Trump discussed regional developments and efforts to maintain peace and security, including support for diplomatic efforts led by Pakistan to prevent escalation between the U.S. and Iran. This reinforced market confidence in Sheikh Tamim as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu opposes U.S.-Iran deal, distances himself from signing
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 8%37%
Benjamin Netanyahu publicly opposed the U.S.-Iran peace deal, emphasizing Israel is not a signatory and distancing himself from Trump's decision to sign it. This opposition contributed to a decline in market confidence for Netanyahu as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. Vice President JD Vance announces digital signing of U.S.-Iran memorandum
Abbas Araghchi plunges to 11%24%
JD Vance announced that the memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran was digitally signed, confirming the deal's formalization. This event caused a sharp drop in confidence for Abbas Araghchi and Marco Rubio as signatories, while Ghalibaf's probability fluctuated.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace agreement, signing planned for Friday
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 11%34%
A memorandum of understanding was announced to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with signing scheduled, increasing market confidence in key signatories.
Jun 14 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace deal, signing planned for June 19
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf surges to 90%39%
The U.S. and Iran announced a preliminary agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with a signing ceremony scheduled in Switzerland. This boosted market confidence in Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as the lead Iranian negotiator expected to sign the deal.
Jun 12 2026
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi signals deal with U.S. 'never been closer'
Abbas Araghchi surges to 82%37%
Araghchi's positive comments on the proximity of a deal boosted market optimism for his signing potential, though skepticism remained about final agreement details.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Jun 19 2026
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman congratulates Pakistan PM on U.S.-Iran peace deal
Mohammed bin Salman dips to 5%1%
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman expressed support for the U.S.-Iran peace agreement and praised Pakistan's mediation efforts. This endorsement slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 18 2026
Trump envoy Steve Witkoff briefs US Congress on Iran deal details including nuclear inspections
Steve Witkoff plunges to 3%42%
Witkoff revealed that Iran will invite the IAEA to inspect nuclear sites, indicating ongoing cooperation post-deal; his role as special envoy was critical but he was not a signatory, reflected in low market prices.
Jun 18 2026
Marco Rubio remains silent amid growing criticism of Iran deal
Secretary of State Marco Rubio maintained a low profile as criticism of the Iran deal intensified, signaling political caution. This sustained low market confidence in Rubio as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani discusses US-Iran ceasefire and regional stability with French President Macron
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 8%37%
Sheikh Tamim's diplomatic engagement and mediation efforts were recognized as important for regional peace, though he was not a signatory, reflected in low market confidence.
Jun 17 2026
White House explores meeting to revive U.S.-Iran negotiations
Abbas Araghchi drops to 11%14%
The White House considered a meeting between envoy Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to revive negotiations and prevent further conflict, indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts. This maintained market uncertainty for Araghchi as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
U.S. and Iran sign initial deal at Palace of Versailles, Trump physically signs and hands pen to Rubio
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 14%76%
President Donald Trump signed the U.S.-Iran agreement at the Palace of Versailles in France, handing the document and pen to Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf also signed the deal digitally. This event confirmed Ghalibaf as the signatory and caused a sharp drop in confidence for other potential signatories.
Jun 17 2026
Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian sign US-Iran peace memorandum at Versailles
Marco Rubio plunges to 7%39%
President Trump signed the peace deal at the Palace of Versailles, handing the document to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Iranian President Pezeshkian signed in Tehran, confirming the deal's execution.
Jun 17 2026
Democrats demand briefing from Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum
Top Democrats requested an immediate briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the memorandum of understanding with Iran, highlighting political scrutiny and pressure. This event contributed to market skepticism about Rubio's role as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Top Democrats demand briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding
Marco Rubio plunges to 11%35%
Congressional Democrats requested a briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, reflecting scrutiny and skepticism about the deal. Rubio's role as Secretary of State and his involvement in the deal affected market confidence in him as a signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials express skepticism over Iran deal
Marco Rubio dips to 9%2%
Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials voiced doubts about Iran's commitment to the memorandum of understanding, reflecting internal U.S. skepticism. This caused a decline in market confidence for Rubio as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Saudi Cabinet chaired by Mohammed bin Salman welcomes US-Iran agreement
Mohammed bin Salman plunges to 5%41%
Saudi Arabia's official support for the US-Iran deal slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Qatar Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Trump discuss regional tensions and diplomatic efforts
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 25%20%
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Donald Trump discussed regional developments and efforts to maintain peace and security, including support for diplomatic efforts led by Pakistan to prevent escalation between the U.S. and Iran. This reinforced market confidence in Sheikh Tamim as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu opposes U.S.-Iran deal, distances himself from signing
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 8%37%
Benjamin Netanyahu publicly opposed the U.S.-Iran peace deal, emphasizing Israel is not a signatory and distancing himself from Trump's decision to sign it. This opposition contributed to a decline in market confidence for Netanyahu as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. Vice President JD Vance announces digital signing of U.S.-Iran memorandum
Abbas Araghchi plunges to 11%24%
JD Vance announced that the memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran was digitally signed, confirming the deal's formalization. This event caused a sharp drop in confidence for Abbas Araghchi and Marco Rubio as signatories, while Ghalibaf's probability fluctuated.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace agreement, signing planned for Friday
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 11%34%
A memorandum of understanding was announced to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with signing scheduled, increasing market confidence in key signatories.
Jun 14 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace deal, signing planned for June 19
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf surges to 90%39%
The U.S. and Iran announced a preliminary agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with a signing ceremony scheduled in Switzerland. This boosted market confidence in Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as the lead Iranian negotiator expected to sign the deal.
Jun 12 2026
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi signals deal with U.S. 'never been closer'
Abbas Araghchi surges to 82%37%
Araghchi's positive comments on the proximity of a deal boosted market optimism for his signing potential, though skepticism remained about final agreement details.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen
„Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 20 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Masoud Pezeshkian" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Shehbaz Sharif" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.
Stand heute hat „Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $971.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 11, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.
Um auf „Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 20 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.
Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?" ist „Masoud Pezeshkian" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Shehbaz Sharif" mit 100%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.
Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.
Ja. Sie müssen nicht handeln, um informiert zu bleiben. Diese Seite dient als Live-Tracker für „Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?". Die Ergebniswahrscheinlichkeiten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn neue Handelsgeschäfte eingehen. Sie können diese Seite als Lesezeichen speichern und den Kommentarbereich lesen, um zu sehen, was andere Händler sagen. Sie können auch die Zeitfilter im Diagramm nutzen, um zu sehen, wie sich die Quoten im Laufe der Zeit verändert haben.
Polymarket-Quoten werden von echten Händlern festgelegt, die echtes Geld hinter ihre Überzeugungen setzen, was tendenziell genaue Vorhersagen hervorbringt. Mit $971.4K Handelsvolumen bei “Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?” aggregieren diese Preise das kollektive Wissen und die Überzeugung Tausender Teilnehmer — oft genauer als Umfragen, Expertenprognosen und traditionelle Erhebungen. Prognosemärkte wie Polymarket haben eine starke Erfolgsbilanz bei der Genauigkeit, besonders wenn Ereignisse sich ihrem Auflösungsdatum nähern. Beispielsweise hat Polymarket einen Einmonats-Genauigkeitswert von 94%. Für die neuesten Statistiken zur Vorhersagegenauigkeit von Polymarket besuchen Sie die Genauigkeitsseite auf Polymarket.
Um Ihren ersten Handel auf „Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?" zu platzieren, erstellen Sie ein kostenloses Polymarket-Konto und laden Sie es mit Krypto, Kredit- oder Debitkarte oder Banküberweisung auf. Sobald Ihr Konto aufgeladen ist, kehren Sie zu dieser Seite zurück, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, auf das Sie handeln möchten, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie neu bei Prognosemärkten sind, klicken Sie auf den Link „So funktioniert es" oben auf jeder Polymarket-Seite für eine Schritt-für-Schritt-Anleitung.
Auf Polymarket repräsentiert der Preis jedes Ergebnisses die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes. Ein Preis von 100¢ für „Masoud Pezeshkian" im Markt „Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?" bedeutet, dass Händler kollektiv eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von etwa 100% sehen, dass „Masoud Pezeshkian" das korrekte Ergebnis sein wird. Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile bei 100¢ kaufen und das Ergebnis korrekt ist, erhalten Sie $1,00 pro Anteil – ein Gewinn von 0¢ pro Anteil. Ist es falsch, sind diese Anteile $0 wert.
Der Markt „Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?" ist geplant, um am oder um den Jul 31, 2026 aufgelöst zu werden. Das bedeutet, dass der Handel offen bleibt und die Quoten sich weiter verschieben, bis dieses Datum erreicht ist. Der genaue Auflösungszeitpunkt hängt davon ab, wann das offizielle Ergebnis verfügbar ist, wie im Abschnitt „Regeln" beschrieben.
Der Markt „Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?" hat eine aktive Community mit 48 Kommentaren, in der Händler ihre Analysen teilen, Ergebnisse diskutieren und aktuelle Entwicklungen besprechen. Scrollen Sie zum Kommentarbereich unten, um zu lesen, was andere Teilnehmer denken. Sie können auch nach „Top-Haltern" filtern oder den Tab „Aktivität" für einen Echtzeit-Feed von Handelsgeschäften prüfen.
Polymarket ist der größte Prognosemarkt der Welt, auf dem Sie informiert bleiben und von Ihrem Wissen über reale Ereignisse profitieren können. Händler kaufen und verkaufen Anteile an Ergebnissen zu Themen von Politik und Wahlen bis hin zu Krypto, Finanzen, Sport, Technologie und Kultur, einschließlich Märkten wie „Wer wird den US x Iran-Deal unterzeichnen?". Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten wider, die durch finanzielle Überzeugung gestützt werden — oft schneller und genauer als Umfragen, Experten oder traditionelle Erhebungen.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen