Traders see the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting as nearly as likely to occur in Pakistan as not to happen by June 30 because the April 11-12 round in Islamabad produced no agreement yet left Pakistan as the leading intermediary. Recent Iranian Foreign Minister travel to allied capitals and emphasis on regional alliances have slowed momentum for an immediate follow-up, while US officials continue exploring Islamabad as the venue amid the extended ceasefire. This balance leaves Pakistan and a delayed outcome in a virtual tie, with any progress on a framework understanding or renewed high-level scheduling able to shift probabilities quickly before the June cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWo findet das nächste diplomatische Treffen zwischen den USA und dem Iran statt?
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 44.4%
Pakistan 42.8%
Andere 2.8%
Schweiz 2.4%
$6,410,971 Vol.
$6,410,971 Vol.
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
44%
Pakistan
43%
Andere
3%
Schweiz
2%
Oman
2%
Katar
1%
Österreich
<1%
USA
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Russland
<1%
Türkei
<1%
Irak
<1%
Andere - Europa
<1%
Italien
<1%
Iran
<1%
Andere - Naher Osten/Nordafrika
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
VAE
<1%
Kasachstan
<1%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 44.4%
Pakistan 42.8%
Andere 2.8%
Schweiz 2.4%
$6,410,971 Vol.
$6,410,971 Vol.
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
44%
Pakistan
43%
Andere
3%
Schweiz
2%
Oman
2%
Katar
1%
Österreich
<1%
USA
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Russland
<1%
Türkei
<1%
Irak
<1%
Andere - Europa
<1%
Italien
<1%
Iran
<1%
Andere - Naher Osten/Nordafrika
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
VAE
<1%
Kasachstan
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting as nearly as likely to occur in Pakistan as not to happen by June 30 because the April 11-12 round in Islamabad produced no agreement yet left Pakistan as the leading intermediary. Recent Iranian Foreign Minister travel to allied capitals and emphasis on regional alliances have slowed momentum for an immediate follow-up, while US officials continue exploring Islamabad as the venue amid the extended ceasefire. This balance leaves Pakistan and a delayed outcome in a virtual tie, with any progress on a framework understanding or renewed high-level scheduling able to shift probabilities quickly before the June cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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