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icon for Wird Lamine Yamal Barcelona vor 2028 verlassen?

Wird Lamine Yamal Barcelona vor 2028 verlassen?

icon for Wird Lamine Yamal Barcelona vor 2028 verlassen?

Wird Lamine Yamal Barcelona vor 2028 verlassen?

28% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
28% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lamine Yamal’s contract extension through 2031, signed in May 2025 and featuring a €1 billion release clause, anchors trader expectations that he will remain at Barcelona beyond 2028. The 19-year-old La Masia product has reinforced that positioning with standout form in the 2025-26 and 2026-27 campaigns, including hat-tricks, leading scorer honors, and a historic appointment as the club’s youngest captain during a Champions League opener in September 2026. Barcelona’s leadership group has elevated him alongside established figures, while his integration under Hansi Flick and continued Spain national team involvement limit any realistic pathway for departure before the contract window closes. These factors combine to shape the current 70.5% implied probability on the “No” outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.

A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.

An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.

If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lamine Yamal’s contract extension through 2031, signed in May 2025 and featuring a €1 billion release clause, anchors trader expectations that he will remain at Barcelona beyond 2028. The 19-year-old La Masia product has reinforced that positioning with standout form in the 2025-26 and 2026-27 campaigns, including hat-tricks, leading scorer honors, and a historic appointment as the club’s youngest captain during a Champions League opener in September 2026. Barcelona’s leadership group has elevated him alongside established figures, while his integration under Hansi Flick and continued Spain national team involvement limit any realistic pathway for departure before the contract window closes. These factors combine to shape the current 70.5% implied probability on the “No” outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.

A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.

An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.

If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Lamine Yamal Barcelona vor 2028 verlassen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 28% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 28¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 28%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wird Lamine Yamal Barcelona vor 2028 verlassen?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 9, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wird Lamine Yamal Barcelona vor 2028 verlassen?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Wird Lamine Yamal Barcelona vor 2028 verlassen?" liegt bei 28% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wird Lamine Yamal Barcelona vor 2028 verlassen?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.