The 30-year fixed mortgage rate, averaging 6.36% as of Freddie Mac's May 14 survey—slightly off last week's 6.37%—reflects persistent inflationary pressures and the Federal Reserve's steady federal funds rate target of 3.50%-3.75% following its April FOMC meeting. April 2026 CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023, driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, pushing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.46% and widening mortgage spreads. Trader sentiment on Polymarket aggregates real capital at stake, pricing in limited downside amid sticky inflation and robust labor data. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC, where rate cut odds hinge on cooling price data below 3%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird der 30-Jahres-Hypothekenzins __ im Jahr 2026 erreichen?
Wird der 30-Jahres-Hypothekenzins __ im Jahr 2026 erreichen?
$49,755 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
↑ 7,00 %
48%
↑ 6,75 %
55%
↑ 6,50 %
84%
↓ 5,90 %
50%
↓ 5,70 %
46%
↓ 5,50 %
50%
$49,755 Vol.
↑ 7,00 %
$26 Vol.
48%
↑ 6,75 %
$118 Vol.
55%
↑ 6,50 %
$6,700 Vol.
84%
↓ 5,90 %
$6,005 Vol.
50%
↓ 5,70 %
$6,769 Vol.
46%
↓ 5,50 %
$25 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.The 30-year fixed mortgage rate, averaging 6.36% as of Freddie Mac's May 14 survey—slightly off last week's 6.37%—reflects persistent inflationary pressures and the Federal Reserve's steady federal funds rate target of 3.50%-3.75% following its April FOMC meeting. April 2026 CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023, driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, pushing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.46% and widening mortgage spreads. Trader sentiment on Polymarket aggregates real capital at stake, pricing in limited downside amid sticky inflation and robust labor data. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC, where rate cut odds hinge on cooling price data below 3%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volumen
$49,755Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.The 30-year fixed mortgage rate, averaging 6.36% as of Freddie Mac's May 14 survey—slightly off last week's 6.37%—reflects persistent inflationary pressures and the Federal Reserve's steady federal funds rate target of 3.50%-3.75% following its April FOMC meeting. April 2026 CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023, driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, pushing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.46% and widening mortgage spreads. Trader sentiment on Polymarket aggregates real capital at stake, pricing in limited downside amid sticky inflation and robust labor data. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC, where rate cut odds hinge on cooling price data below 3%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volumen
$49,755Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 30-year fixed mortgage rate, averaging 6.36% as of Freddie Mac's May 14 survey—slightly off last week's 6.37%—reflects persistent inflationary pressures and the Federal Reserve's steady federal funds rate target of 3.50%-3.75% following its April FOMC meeting. April 2026 CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023, driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, pushing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.46% and widening mortgage spreads. Trader sentiment on Polymarket aggregates real capital at stake, pricing in limited downside amid sticky inflation and robust labor data. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC, where rate cut odds hinge on cooling price data below 3%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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