**Recent Illinois legislative momentum and ongoing negotiations make an out-of-state move by year-end highly improbable.** Governor JB Pritzker met with NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell, legislative leaders, and Bears minority owner Pat Ryan in early October 2026 to advance a publicly owned stadium authority model—potentially at the Arlington Heights site the team already owns—that would eliminate property tax concerns and keep the franchise in-state. A veto session bill is expected in November, building on stalled earlier efforts and countering the Bears’ August 2026 “sole focus” on Hammond, Indiana sites. The Bears’ 2026 on-field situation provides supporting context for stability. At 2-1 with strong offensive output (leading the league in rushing yards per game and ranking fifth in points scored), the team under head coach Ben Johnson shows positive momentum despite injuries to quarterback Caleb Williams (hamstring) and several defensive backs. This performance aligns with long-term revenue goals tied to a new Illinois venue rather than an immediate cross-border shift. Any stadium construction timeline extends well beyond December 2026, with the current Soldier Field lease running through 2033 and no signs of an expedited exit. Trader consensus at 93.5% for “No” reflects these structural and timeline realities over short-term relocation signals.