Skip to main content
icon for Weltmeisterschaft: Erzielt Messi 2+ Elfmeter?
Sport·FIFA Fussball-Weltmeisterschaft

Weltmeisterschaft: Erzielt Messi 2+ Elfmeter?

icon for Weltmeisterschaft: Erzielt Messi 2+ Elfmeter?
Sport·FIFA Fussball-Weltmeisterschaft

Weltmeisterschaft: Erzielt Messi 2+ Elfmeter?

64% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
64% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lionel Messi serves as Argentina’s designated primary penalty taker entering the 2026 World Cup, a role reinforced by recent set-piece assignments and historical conversion rates above 80 percent on spot kicks. Minor hamstring discomfort sustained in late May with Inter Miami resolved without long-term issues, clearing him for full participation after inclusion in the final squad and positive post-friendly updates. Argentina’s projected deep run through Group J and knockout stages, combined with their tendency to draw fouls in the box, supports expectations of multiple penalty opportunities across at least five or six matches. Traders price the Yes side at 63.5 percent implied probability on the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that Messi’s volume and accuracy outweigh age-related or rotation risks at 39.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.

If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,139
Enddatum
20. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lionel Messi serves as Argentina’s designated primary penalty taker entering the 2026 World Cup, a role reinforced by recent set-piece assignments and historical conversion rates above 80 percent on spot kicks. Minor hamstring discomfort sustained in late May with Inter Miami resolved without long-term issues, clearing him for full participation after inclusion in the final squad and positive post-friendly updates. Argentina’s projected deep run through Group J and knockout stages, combined with their tendency to draw fouls in the box, supports expectations of multiple penalty opportunities across at least five or six matches. Traders price the Yes side at 63.5 percent implied probability on the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that Messi’s volume and accuracy outweigh age-related or rotation risks at 39.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.

If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,139
Enddatum
20. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Weltmeisterschaft: Erzielt Messi 2+ Elfmeter?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 64% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 64¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 64%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Weltmeisterschaft: Erzielt Messi 2+ Elfmeter?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jun 7, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Weltmeisterschaft: Erzielt Messi 2+ Elfmeter?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Weltmeisterschaft: Erzielt Messi 2+ Elfmeter?" liegt bei 64% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 64% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Weltmeisterschaft: Erzielt Messi 2+ Elfmeter?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.