Kimi Antonelli's explosive start to the 2026 F1 season, capped by his third consecutive Grand Prix victory from pole at the Miami GP on May 3, has propelled him to the drivers' championship lead with 100 points—20 clear of Mercedes teammate George Russell—driving trader consensus to price him at 39% implied probability for the title. Antonelli's dominance, including leading more laps than the rest of the field combined through four rounds, underscores Mercedes' superior pace under new regulations, while Russell's consistent podiums keep him at 30% amid their intensifying intra-team battle. Lando Norris sits third at 12% following solid McLaren results, but Max Verstappen's lowly 6% reflects Red Bull's early-season reliability woes and deficit in points, leaving the rookie sensation as the clear market favorite with 14 races remaining.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKimi Antonelli 38.6%
George Russell 30%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$148,813,902 Vol.
$148,813,902 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
39%
George Russell
30%
Lando Norris
12%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Título del grupo: Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Oliver Bearman
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 38.6%
George Russell 30%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$148,813,902 Vol.
$148,813,902 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
39%
George Russell
30%
Lando Norris
12%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Título del grupo: Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Oliver Bearman
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli's explosive start to the 2026 F1 season, capped by his third consecutive Grand Prix victory from pole at the Miami GP on May 3, has propelled him to the drivers' championship lead with 100 points—20 clear of Mercedes teammate George Russell—driving trader consensus to price him at 39% implied probability for the title. Antonelli's dominance, including leading more laps than the rest of the field combined through four rounds, underscores Mercedes' superior pace under new regulations, while Russell's consistent podiums keep him at 30% amid their intensifying intra-team battle. Lando Norris sits third at 12% following solid McLaren results, but Max Verstappen's lowly 6% reflects Red Bull's early-season reliability woes and deficit in points, leaving the rookie sensation as the clear market favorite with 14 races remaining.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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