Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open market at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting his status as world No. 1 and dominant recent form on hard courts, including a second consecutive Wimbledon title, the Sunshine Double, and multiple Masters 1000 victories in 2026. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 12.5% amid ongoing wrist injury concerns that sidelined him from Wimbledon, tempering expectations despite his elite talent and head-to-head record. Alexander Zverev at 12.2% benefits from his French Open breakthrough earlier in the year and Wimbledon final appearance, while Novak Djokovic and younger contenders like Ben Shelton trail further back due to age, inconsistent results, or limited major pedigree. Trader consensus emphasizes Sinner’s consistency and surface suitability entering the hard-court major.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJannik Sinner 51%
Carlos Alcaraz 13%
Alexander Zverev 12.2%
Novak Djokovic 6.2%
$6,656,899 Vol.
$6,656,899 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
51%
Carlos Alcaraz
13%
Alexander Zverev
12%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Ben Shelton
5%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Jannik Sinner 51%
Carlos Alcaraz 13%
Alexander Zverev 12.2%
Novak Djokovic 6.2%
$6,656,899 Vol.
$6,656,899 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
51%
Carlos Alcaraz
13%
Alexander Zverev
12%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Ben Shelton
5%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open market at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting his status as world No. 1 and dominant recent form on hard courts, including a second consecutive Wimbledon title, the Sunshine Double, and multiple Masters 1000 victories in 2026. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 12.5% amid ongoing wrist injury concerns that sidelined him from Wimbledon, tempering expectations despite his elite talent and head-to-head record. Alexander Zverev at 12.2% benefits from his French Open breakthrough earlier in the year and Wimbledon final appearance, while Novak Djokovic and younger contenders like Ben Shelton trail further back due to age, inconsistent results, or limited major pedigree. Trader consensus emphasizes Sinner’s consistency and surface suitability entering the hard-court major.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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