Jannik Sinner’s commanding position as ATP No. 1 and his elite hard-court record—55-5 over the past year with multiple recent Masters titles—anchor trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title. Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion and No. 2, sits at 16% after a wrist injury that sidelined him since April and prompted his Cincinnati withdrawal, raising questions about readiness for the late-August hard-court major. Alexander Zverev (10.3%) benefits from steady top-three ranking and consistent results, while Novak Djokovic (5.1%) faces workload management at age 39. Recent form, surface specialization, and injury timelines continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the August 30 start.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJannik Sinner 54%
Carlos Alcaraz 16%
Alexander Zverev 10.3%
Novak Djokovic 5.1%
$5,620,839 Vol.
$5,620,839 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Jannik Sinner
54%
Carlos Alcaraz
16%
Alexander Zverev
10%
Novak Djokovic
5%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Ben Shelton
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Jannik Sinner 54%
Carlos Alcaraz 16%
Alexander Zverev 10.3%
Novak Djokovic 5.1%
$5,620,839 Vol.
$5,620,839 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Jannik Sinner
$178,697 Vol.
54%
Carlos Alcaraz
$265,828 Vol.
16%
Alexander Zverev
$138,804 Vol.
10%
Novak Djokovic
$300,569 Vol.
5%
Taylor Fritz
$173,108 Vol.
3%
Ben Shelton
$172,769 Vol.
2%
Daniil Medvedev
$180,765 Vol.
2%
Joao Fonseca
$222,665 Vol.
1%
Jakub Mensik
$218,374 Vol.
1%
Arthur Fils
$167,912 Vol.
1%
Jiri Lehecka
$412,013 Vol.
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
$582,758 Vol.
1%
Andrey Rublev
$228,438 Vol.
1%
Alexander Bublik
$135,845 Vol.
1%
Flavio Cobolli
$121,117 Vol.
1%
Frances Tiafoe
$134,657 Vol.
1%
Jack Draper
$208,366 Vol.
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
$390,289 Vol.
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
$273,315 Vol.
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
$257,772 Vol.
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
$743,450 Vol.
<1%
Holger Rune
$113,328 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner’s commanding position as ATP No. 1 and his elite hard-court record—55-5 over the past year with multiple recent Masters titles—anchor trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title. Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion and No. 2, sits at 16% after a wrist injury that sidelined him since April and prompted his Cincinnati withdrawal, raising questions about readiness for the late-August hard-court major. Alexander Zverev (10.3%) benefits from steady top-three ranking and consistent results, while Novak Djokovic (5.1%) faces workload management at age 39. Recent form, surface specialization, and injury timelines continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the August 30 start.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Volumen
$5,620,839Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner’s commanding position as ATP No. 1 and his elite hard-court record—55-5 over the past year with multiple recent Masters titles—anchor trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title. Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion and No. 2, sits at 16% after a wrist injury that sidelined him since April and prompted his Cincinnati withdrawal, raising questions about readiness for the late-August hard-court major. Alexander Zverev (10.3%) benefits from steady top-three ranking and consistent results, while Novak Djokovic (5.1%) faces workload management at age 39. Recent form, surface specialization, and injury timelines continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the August 30 start.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,620,839Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner’s commanding position as ATP No. 1 and his elite hard-court record—55-5 over the past year with multiple recent Masters titles—anchor trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title. Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion and No. 2, sits at 16% after a wrist injury that sidelined him since April and prompted his Cincinnati withdrawal, raising questions about readiness for the late-August hard-court major. Alexander Zverev (10.3%) benefits from steady top-three ranking and consistent results, while Novak Djokovic (5.1%) faces workload management at age 39. Recent form, surface specialization, and injury timelines continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the August 30 start.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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