The Oklahoma City Thunder's 64-18 regular-season record and perfect 8-0 playoff start, including a sweep of the Los Angeles Lakers to reach the Western Conference Finals, anchor their status as the leading outcome. Their young core, paced by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, has maintained elite efficiency on both ends while advancing through early rounds. The San Antonio Spurs follow closely with a 62-20 mark and Victor Wembanyama's continued impact, having won their first-round series and holding a 3-2 lead in the conference semifinals. Eastern Conference sides including the New York Knicks, Detroit Pistons, and Cleveland Cavaliers reflect lower implied probabilities in a bracket where home-court edges and injury management will shape later-series outcomes.