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Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$148,326 Vol.

17 abr 2027
Polymarket

$148,326 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,705 Vol.

96%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$10,209 Vol.

85%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$5,180 Vol.

84%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,377 Vol.

77%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,751 Vol.

76%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$6,695 Vol.

75%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,615 Vol.

69%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$5,085 Vol.

53%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$576 Vol.

59%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$5,251 Vol.

50%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$5,801 Vol.

42%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,623 Vol.

41%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,342 Vol.

37%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$979 Vol.

34%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,681 Vol.

30%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$2,257 Vol.

26%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$4,322 Vol.

20%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,881 Vol.

17%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$3,638 Vol.

17%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$10,076 Vol.

13%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,175 Vol.

10%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 Vol.

10%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,539 Vol.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,250 Vol.

9%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,756 Vol.

9%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,417 Vol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$2,385 Vol.

9%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$1,265 Vol.

9%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,742 Vol.

8%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,637 Vol.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,842 Vol.

7%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$559 Vol.

7%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$2,727 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,557 Vol.

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,748 Vol.

6%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$743 Vol.

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,576 Vol.

4%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$972 Vol.

4%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,258 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$19,686 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$352 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$850 Vol.

3%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$345 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$970 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,102 Vol.

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$148,326
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$148,326
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 46+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" con 96%, seguido de "Édouard Philippe" con 85%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ha generado $148.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?", explora los 46+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" es "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Édouard Philippe" con 85%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.