Recent IMO 2026 results in Shanghai, where multiple frontier large language models including dots-note-3.0 and Huawei Celia earned officially graded perfect 42/42 scores on the six proof problems while others like GPT-5.6 and Claude variants reached or exceeded the gold threshold in verified runs, have reinforced trader expectations. Yet the 89.5% probability on No reflects strict resolution criteria requiring an AI to participate as an official contestant and receive a medal alongside human competitors, an outcome that did not occur. Open-weight systems such as DeepSeek V4 Flash also cleared gold benchmarks at low cost, highlighting rapid progress in general-purpose reasoning, but this remains separate from formal IMO rules and entry processes. Upcoming developer conferences and potential rule changes for future olympiads represent the main swing factors traders are monitoring.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
9% probabilidad
$10,087 Vol.
$10,087 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
9% probabilidad
$10,087 Vol.
$10,087 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent IMO 2026 results in Shanghai, where multiple frontier large language models including dots-note-3.0 and Huawei Celia earned officially graded perfect 42/42 scores on the six proof problems while others like GPT-5.6 and Claude variants reached or exceeded the gold threshold in verified runs, have reinforced trader expectations. Yet the 89.5% probability on No reflects strict resolution criteria requiring an AI to participate as an official contestant and receive a medal alongside human competitors, an outcome that did not occur. Open-weight systems such as DeepSeek V4 Flash also cleared gold benchmarks at low cost, highlighting rapid progress in general-purpose reasoning, but this remains separate from formal IMO rules and entry processes. Upcoming developer conferences and potential rule changes for future olympiads represent the main swing factors traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volumen
$10,087Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent IMO 2026 results in Shanghai, where multiple frontier large language models including dots-note-3.0 and Huawei Celia earned officially graded perfect 42/42 scores on the six proof problems while others like GPT-5.6 and Claude variants reached or exceeded the gold threshold in verified runs, have reinforced trader expectations. Yet the 89.5% probability on No reflects strict resolution criteria requiring an AI to participate as an official contestant and receive a medal alongside human competitors, an outcome that did not occur. Open-weight systems such as DeepSeek V4 Flash also cleared gold benchmarks at low cost, highlighting rapid progress in general-purpose reasoning, but this remains separate from formal IMO rules and entry processes. Upcoming developer conferences and potential rule changes for future olympiads represent the main swing factors traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volumen
$10,087Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent IMO 2026 results in Shanghai, where multiple frontier large language models including dots-note-3.0 and Huawei Celia earned officially graded perfect 42/42 scores on the six proof problems while others like GPT-5.6 and Claude variants reached or exceeded the gold threshold in verified runs, have reinforced trader expectations. Yet the 89.5% probability on No reflects strict resolution criteria requiring an AI to participate as an official contestant and receive a medal alongside human competitors, an outcome that did not occur. Open-weight systems such as DeepSeek V4 Flash also cleared gold benchmarks at low cost, highlighting rapid progress in general-purpose reasoning, but this remains separate from formal IMO rules and entry processes. Upcoming developer conferences and potential rule changes for future olympiads represent the main swing factors traders are monitoring.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes