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icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas

icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas

Omar Aziz 53%

Profesora Maria do Carmo 53%

Roberto Cidade 45%

Cabo Daciolo 40%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Omar Aziz 53%

Profesora Maria do Carmo 53%

Roberto Cidade 45%

Cabo Daciolo 40%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$0 Vol.

53%

icon for Profesora Maria do Carmo

Profesora Maria do Carmo

$0 Vol.

53%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$20 Vol.

8%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$25 Vol.

7%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of seven registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Amazonas gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered near even odds, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner after the August 15 candidacy deadline. Recent indirect election of incumbent Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and early polling averages showing narrow leads or ties among figures such as Maria do Carmo (PL), Omar Aziz (PSD), and David Almeida (Avante) underscore the competitive dynamics. Alliances with national parties, voter turnout in Manaus, and campaign launches in the coming weeks could consolidate support or split the vote further, while any late shifts in coalitions or polling trends among swing blocs may create separation ahead of the first round.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$45
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of seven registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Amazonas gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered near even odds, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner after the August 15 candidacy deadline. Recent indirect election of incumbent Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and early polling averages showing narrow leads or ties among figures such as Maria do Carmo (PL), Omar Aziz (PSD), and David Almeida (Avante) underscore the competitive dynamics. Alliances with national parties, voter turnout in Manaus, and campaign launches in the coming weeks could consolidate support or split the vote further, while any late shifts in coalitions or polling trends among swing blocs may create separation ahead of the first round.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$45
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Omar Aziz" con 53%, seguido de "Profesora Maria do Carmo" con 53%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas" es "Omar Aziz" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Profesora Maria do Carmo" con 53%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.