Incumbent Juanma Moreno and the People's Party (PP) maintain a commanding lead in Andalusia's May 17 regional election due to sustained polling strength showing the party on track for an absolute majority or near it in the 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects voter consolidation around the center-right incumbent's record since 2022, while the PSOE-A trails significantly and smaller parties including Vox, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía register minimal support. Trader consensus at 99.5% for PP captures this broad polling margin, though scenarios such as unexpectedly low turnout in key provinces or late mobilization by opposition voters could still narrow the outcome before final seat allocation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones en Andalucía
Ganador de las elecciones en Andalucía
PP 99.5%
PSOE-A 1.1%
PA <1%
VOX <1%
$169,883 Vol.
$169,883 Vol.
17 may 2026
PP
100%
PSOE-A
1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.5%
PSOE-A 1.1%
PA <1%
VOX <1%
$169,883 Vol.
$169,883 Vol.
17 may 2026
PP
$60,445 Vol.
100%
PSOE-A
$63,033 Vol.
1%
VOX
$36,234 Vol.
<1%
PA
$5,745 Vol.
<1%
AA
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Incumbent Juanma Moreno and the People's Party (PP) maintain a commanding lead in Andalusia's May 17 regional election due to sustained polling strength showing the party on track for an absolute majority or near it in the 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects voter consolidation around the center-right incumbent's record since 2022, while the PSOE-A trails significantly and smaller parties including Vox, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía register minimal support. Trader consensus at 99.5% for PP captures this broad polling margin, though scenarios such as unexpectedly low turnout in key provinces or late mobilization by opposition voters could still narrow the outcome before final seat allocation.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volumen
$169,883Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Incumbent Juanma Moreno and the People's Party (PP) maintain a commanding lead in Andalusia's May 17 regional election due to sustained polling strength showing the party on track for an absolute majority or near it in the 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects voter consolidation around the center-right incumbent's record since 2022, while the PSOE-A trails significantly and smaller parties including Vox, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía register minimal support. Trader consensus at 99.5% for PP captures this broad polling margin, though scenarios such as unexpectedly low turnout in key provinces or late mobilization by opposition voters could still narrow the outcome before final seat allocation.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Volumen
$169,883Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Juanma Moreno and the People's Party (PP) maintain a commanding lead in Andalusia's May 17 regional election due to sustained polling strength showing the party on track for an absolute majority or near it in the 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects voter consolidation around the center-right incumbent's record since 2022, while the PSOE-A trails significantly and smaller parties including Vox, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía register minimal support. Trader consensus at 99.5% for PP captures this broad polling margin, though scenarios such as unexpectedly low turnout in key provinces or late mobilization by opposition voters could still narrow the outcome before final seat allocation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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