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Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica

icon for Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica

Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica

$1.25–$1.5T 20%

<$1.25T 18%

$1.5–$1.75T 13.4%

$1.75–$2.0T 13%

Polymarket

$89,749 Vol.

$1.25–$1.5T 20%

<$1.25T 18%

$1.5–$1.75T 13.4%

$1.75–$2.0T 13%

Polymarket

$89,749 Vol.

<$1.25T

$16,190 Vol.

18%

$1.25–$1.5T

$9,233 Vol.

20%

$1.5–$1.75T

$9,514 Vol.

13%

$1.75–$2.0T

$9,728 Vol.

13%

$2.0–$2.25T

$11,014 Vol.

2%

$2.25–$2.5T

$4,988 Vol.

6%

$2.5–$2.75T

$7,853 Vol.

7%

$2.75–$3.0T

$4,410 Vol.

2%

$3.0T+

$8,719 Vol.

3%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

$8,101 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in late May 2026, followed by its confidential S-1 filing on June 1, forms the core catalyst anchoring trader sentiment for its IPO closing market cap. Rapid revenue expansion to a $47 billion annualized run rate, coupled with projected operating profitability in Q2 2026, supports expectations of a debut near or above $1 trillion, while competition with OpenAI and intense institutional demand for AI assets create upward pressure. The closely matched probabilities across $1.25–$2.0 trillion bins reflect uncertainty over IPO timing, market conditions, share pricing dynamics, and potential regulatory or macroeconomic headwinds that could compress or expand the first-day capitalization relative to the latest private benchmark.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$89,749
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in late May 2026, followed by its confidential S-1 filing on June 1, forms the core catalyst anchoring trader sentiment for its IPO closing market cap. Rapid revenue expansion to a $47 billion annualized run rate, coupled with projected operating profitability in Q2 2026, supports expectations of a debut near or above $1 trillion, while competition with OpenAI and intense institutional demand for AI assets create upward pressure. The closely matched probabilities across $1.25–$2.0 trillion bins reflect uncertainty over IPO timing, market conditions, share pricing dynamics, and potential regulatory or macroeconomic headwinds that could compress or expand the first-day capitalization relative to the latest private benchmark.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$89,749
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "$1.25–$1.5T" con 20%, seguido de "<$1.25T" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 20¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica" ha generado $89.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica" es "$1.25–$1.5T" con 20%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<$1.25T" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.