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Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica

icon for Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica

Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica

$1.25–$1.5T 23%

<$1.25T 18%

$1.5–$1.75T 15.2%

$1.75–$2.0T 15%

Polymarket

$40,872 Vol.

$1.25–$1.5T 23%

<$1.25T 18%

$1.5–$1.75T 15.2%

$1.75–$2.0T 15%

Polymarket

$40,872 Vol.

<$1.25T

$9,614 Vol.

18%

$1.25–$1.5T

$2,824 Vol.

23%

$1.5–$1.75T

$3,376 Vol.

15%

$1.75–$2.0T

$3,567 Vol.

15%

$2.0–$2.25T

$6,961 Vol.

6%

$2.25–$2.5T

$1,602 Vol.

11%

$2.5–$2.75T

$3,927 Vol.

3%

$2.75–$3.0T

$1,828 Vol.

6%

$3.0T+

$4,325 Vol.

11%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

$2,847 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent private-market momentum, including Anthropic’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026 and its confidential IPO filing on June 1, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap clustered near or modestly above current levels. Explosive annualized revenue growth past $30 billion, driven by Claude demand and compute scaling, supports elevated multiples typical of frontier AI peers, yet dispersion across $1.25–1.5 trillion (22.5%) and adjacent bins reflects uncertainty over public-market premiums, comparable tech valuations, and broader equity sentiment by potential late-2026 listing. Competition with OpenAI’s parallel IPO path adds timing risk, while favorable capital markets and institutional demand for AI exposure could lift the outcome toward the upper end of the $1–2 trillion range.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$40,872
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent private-market momentum, including Anthropic’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026 and its confidential IPO filing on June 1, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap clustered near or modestly above current levels. Explosive annualized revenue growth past $30 billion, driven by Claude demand and compute scaling, supports elevated multiples typical of frontier AI peers, yet dispersion across $1.25–1.5 trillion (22.5%) and adjacent bins reflects uncertainty over public-market premiums, comparable tech valuations, and broader equity sentiment by potential late-2026 listing. Competition with OpenAI’s parallel IPO path adds timing risk, while favorable capital markets and institutional demand for AI exposure could lift the outcome toward the upper end of the $1–2 trillion range.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$40,872
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "$1.25–$1.5T" con 23%, seguido de "<$1.25T" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 23¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica" ha generado $40.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica" es "$1.25–$1.5T" con 23%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<$1.25T" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO antrópica" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.