Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Likely Republican, citing Crane’s established name recognition, fundraising lead exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, and the absence of strong Democratic challengers ahead of the July 21 primaries. Jonathan Nez leads the Democratic primary field but faces an uphill path in a district where Republicans have won by double digits in recent House contests. Trader pricing at 58 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals and the limited movement in early polling, though primary outcomes and any late-cycle national shifts could still influence the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAZ-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AZ-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
56%
Partido Demócrata
34%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$330 Vol.
56%
Partido Demócrata
$208 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Likely Republican, citing Crane’s established name recognition, fundraising lead exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, and the absence of strong Democratic challengers ahead of the July 21 primaries. Jonathan Nez leads the Democratic primary field but faces an uphill path in a district where Republicans have won by double digits in recent House contests. Trader pricing at 58 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals and the limited movement in early polling, though primary outcomes and any late-cycle national shifts could still influence the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volumen
$537Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Likely Republican, citing Crane’s established name recognition, fundraising lead exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, and the absence of strong Democratic challengers ahead of the July 21 primaries. Jonathan Nez leads the Democratic primary field but faces an uphill path in a district where Republicans have won by double digits in recent House contests. Trader pricing at 58 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals and the limited movement in early polling, though primary outcomes and any late-cycle national shifts could still influence the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$537Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Likely Republican, citing Crane’s established name recognition, fundraising lead exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, and the absence of strong Democratic challengers ahead of the July 21 primaries. Jonathan Nez leads the Democratic primary field but faces an uphill path in a district where Republicans have won by double digits in recent House contests. Trader pricing at 58 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals and the limited movement in early polling, though primary outcomes and any late-cycle national shifts could still influence the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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