Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 57.1% implied probability due to his record 73-goal campaign across 65 matches for Bayern Munich and England, including a Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal double plus six World Cup goals en route to a third-place finish. This output, paired with the European Golden Shoe and historic Bundesliga scoring milestones reached in September, underpins trader consensus favoring his individual dominance over collective prizes. Lamine Yamal sits second at 21.7% on the strength of Spain's World Cup triumph and back-to-back La Liga titles, though injuries curtailed his peak form. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi trail further back, reflecting narrower paths tied to tournament narratives and prior achievements amid the October 26 ceremony in London. Recent shortlist announcements and ongoing club form have reinforced Kane's position without major shifts in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHarry Kane 57.1%
Lamine Yamal 21.7%
Kylian Mbappé 7.4%
Lionel Messi 5.2%
$37,526,000 Vol.
$37,526,000 Vol.
Harry Kane
57%
Lamine Yamal
22%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Lionel Messi
5%
Rodri
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabián Ruiz
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
Harry Kane 57.1%
Lamine Yamal 21.7%
Kylian Mbappé 7.4%
Lionel Messi 5.2%
$37,526,000 Vol.
$37,526,000 Vol.
Harry Kane
57%
Lamine Yamal
22%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Lionel Messi
5%
Rodri
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabián Ruiz
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 57.1% implied probability due to his record 73-goal campaign across 65 matches for Bayern Munich and England, including a Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal double plus six World Cup goals en route to a third-place finish. This output, paired with the European Golden Shoe and historic Bundesliga scoring milestones reached in September, underpins trader consensus favoring his individual dominance over collective prizes. Lamine Yamal sits second at 21.7% on the strength of Spain's World Cup triumph and back-to-back La Liga titles, though injuries curtailed his peak form. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi trail further back, reflecting narrower paths tied to tournament narratives and prior achievements amid the October 26 ceremony in London. Recent shortlist announcements and ongoing club form have reinforced Kane's position without major shifts in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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