In California's 3rd Congressional District, redrawn by Proposition 50 to favor Democrats with a Kamala Harris +10 margin and 39% Democratic voter registration, incumbent Rep. Ami Bera leads Polymarket odds at 94% to advance from the June 2 top-two primary, bolstered by $1.8 million cash on hand and a Sacramento Bee endorsement on May 2. Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker, endorsed by former Rep. Kevin Kiley, trades at 70% for second place as multiple Democratic challengers—Heidi Hall, Chris Bennett, and Lyndon Cervantes—split votes, potentially allowing a Republican through despite the district's safe Democratic lean. Early ballot returns through May 8 show Republicans at 40% of turnout versus 38% Democrats, driven by older voters, signaling possible GOP enthusiasm; no recent polls available, with results expected June 2.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-03 Primary Winners
CA-03 Primary Winners
NUEVO
2 jun 2026
Ami Bera
94%
Robb Tucker
74%
Christine Bish
34%
Heidi Hall
16%
Laura Koscki
6%
Chris Bennett
6%
Chris Richardson
5%
Lyndon Cervantes
4%
$4,465 Vol.
Ami Bera
$459 Vol.
94%
Robb Tucker
$1,972 Vol.
74%
Christine Bish
$1,125 Vol.
34%
Heidi Hall
$452 Vol.
16%
Laura Koscki
$73 Vol.
6%
Chris Bennett
$258 Vol.
6%
Chris Richardson
$125 Vol.
5%
Lyndon Cervantes
$0 Vol.
4%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's 3rd Congressional District, redrawn by Proposition 50 to favor Democrats with a Kamala Harris +10 margin and 39% Democratic voter registration, incumbent Rep. Ami Bera leads Polymarket odds at 94% to advance from the June 2 top-two primary, bolstered by $1.8 million cash on hand and a Sacramento Bee endorsement on May 2. Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker, endorsed by former Rep. Kevin Kiley, trades at 70% for second place as multiple Democratic challengers—Heidi Hall, Chris Bennett, and Lyndon Cervantes—split votes, potentially allowing a Republican through despite the district's safe Democratic lean. Early ballot returns through May 8 show Republicans at 40% of turnout versus 38% Democrats, driven by older voters, signaling possible GOP enthusiasm; no recent polls available, with results expected June 2.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Volumen
$4,465Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's 3rd Congressional District, redrawn by Proposition 50 to favor Democrats with a Kamala Harris +10 margin and 39% Democratic voter registration, incumbent Rep. Ami Bera leads Polymarket odds at 94% to advance from the June 2 top-two primary, bolstered by $1.8 million cash on hand and a Sacramento Bee endorsement on May 2. Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker, endorsed by former Rep. Kevin Kiley, trades at 70% for second place as multiple Democratic challengers—Heidi Hall, Chris Bennett, and Lyndon Cervantes—split votes, potentially allowing a Republican through despite the district's safe Democratic lean. Early ballot returns through May 8 show Republicans at 40% of turnout versus 38% Democrats, driven by older voters, signaling possible GOP enthusiasm; no recent polls available, with results expected June 2.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$4,465Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In California's 3rd Congressional District, redrawn by Proposition 50 to favor Democrats with a Kamala Harris +10 margin and 39% Democratic voter registration, incumbent Rep. Ami Bera leads Polymarket odds at 94% to advance from the June 2 top-two primary, bolstered by $1.8 million cash on hand and a Sacramento Bee endorsement on May 2. Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker, endorsed by former Rep. Kevin Kiley, trades at 70% for second place as multiple Democratic challengers—Heidi Hall, Chris Bennett, and Lyndon Cervantes—split votes, potentially allowing a Republican through despite the district's safe Democratic lean. Early ballot returns through May 8 show Republicans at 40% of turnout versus 38% Democrats, driven by older voters, signaling possible GOP enthusiasm; no recent polls available, with results expected June 2.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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