Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity over August 13-15 because his baseline posting pace has settled into moderate daily volumes absent major breaking news or product launches. Recent posts focus on Grok features, Optimus updates, and SpaceX clips, consistent with routine promotional and commentary activity rather than high-volume engagement spikes. The strong weighting on sub-40 also reflects awareness that weekends and quiet news cycles can suppress output below his historical peaks. With no major events or controversies on the immediate horizon, market-implied odds favor steady but not exceptional volume, underscoring how trader consensus prices in the absence of catalytic developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 49%
<40 31%
65-89 18%
90-114 4.5%
NUEVO
$21,153 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,153 Vol.
15 ago 2026
<40
31%
40-64
49%
65-89
18%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
<40 31%
65-89 18%
90-114 4.5%
NUEVO
$21,153 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,153 Vol.
15 ago 2026
<40
$2,055 Vol.
31%
40-64
$607 Vol.
49%
65-89
$623 Vol.
18%
90-114
$961 Vol.
4%
115-139
$1,516 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,576 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,578 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$5,008 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$3,558 Vol.
<1%
240+
$3,671 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity over August 13-15 because his baseline posting pace has settled into moderate daily volumes absent major breaking news or product launches. Recent posts focus on Grok features, Optimus updates, and SpaceX clips, consistent with routine promotional and commentary activity rather than high-volume engagement spikes. The strong weighting on sub-40 also reflects awareness that weekends and quiet news cycles can suppress output below his historical peaks. With no major events or controversies on the immediate horizon, market-implied odds favor steady but not exceptional volume, underscoring how trader consensus prices in the absence of catalytic developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volumen
$21,153Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity over August 13-15 because his baseline posting pace has settled into moderate daily volumes absent major breaking news or product launches. Recent posts focus on Grok features, Optimus updates, and SpaceX clips, consistent with routine promotional and commentary activity rather than high-volume engagement spikes. The strong weighting on sub-40 also reflects awareness that weekends and quiet news cycles can suppress output below his historical peaks. With no major events or controversies on the immediate horizon, market-implied odds favor steady but not exceptional volume, underscoring how trader consensus prices in the absence of catalytic developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$21,153Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity over August 13-15 because his baseline posting pace has settled into moderate daily volumes absent major breaking news or product launches. Recent posts focus on Grok features, Optimus updates, and SpaceX clips, consistent with routine promotional and commentary activity rather than high-volume engagement spikes. The strong weighting on sub-40 also reflects awareness that weekends and quiet news cycles can suppress output below his historical peaks. With no major events or controversies on the immediate horizon, market-implied odds favor steady but not exceptional volume, underscoring how trader consensus prices in the absence of catalytic developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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