Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado180-199 19%
200-219 19%
220-239 15.5%
160-179 14%
NUEVO
$67,892 Vol.
NUEVO
$67,892 Vol.
14 jul 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
5%
140-159
10%
160-179
14%
180-199
19%
200-219
19%
220-239
16%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
3%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
200-219 19%
220-239 15.5%
160-179 14%
NUEVO
$67,892 Vol.
NUEVO
$67,892 Vol.
14 jul 2026
<20
$13,440 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$8,565 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$317 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$258 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$353 Vol.
1%
100-119
$143 Vol.
2%
120-139
$294 Vol.
5%
140-159
$163 Vol.
10%
160-179
$208 Vol.
14%
180-199
$694 Vol.
19%
200-219
$537 Vol.
19%
220-239
$1,804 Vol.
16%
240-259
$168 Vol.
11%
260-279
$316 Vol.
7%
280-299
$274 Vol.
4%
300-319
$360 Vol.
3%
320-339
$243 Vol.
1%
340-359
$329 Vol.
1%
360-379
$723 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$217 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$705 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$12,139 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$1,139 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$7,139 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
500+
$16,340 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$67,892Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$67,892Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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