Skip to main content
icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 50.3%

Australia 16.2%

Grecia 7.2%

Israel 6.2%

Polymarket

$165,798,427 Vol.

Finlandia 50.3%

Australia 16.2%

Grecia 7.2%

Israel 6.2%

Polymarket

$165,798,427 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$4,875,557 Vol.

50%

icon for Australia

Australia

$3,125,868 Vol.

16%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$4,080,962 Vol.

7%

icon for Israel

Israel

$3,164,018 Vol.

6%

icon for Rumanía

Rumanía

$3,016,307 Vol.

5%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$2,684,179 Vol.

5%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$3,580,884 Vol.

3%

icon for Italia

Italia

$4,004,337 Vol.

2%

icon for Francia

Francia

$3,421,683 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$3,183,966 Vol.

1%

icon for Croacia

Croacia

$4,938,415 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$4,327,271 Vol.

1%

icon for Chequia

Chequia

$2,417,646 Vol.

1%

icon for Suecia

Suecia

$2,296,639 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucrania

Ucrania

$3,005,228 Vol.

1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$3,274,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$5,966,528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$6,897,828 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$5,026,696 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,452,795 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,073,548 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$3,715,476 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$5,419,951 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$7,025,451 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$3,721,527 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands a commanding 51.2% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner on Polymarket, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a Finnish-language fusion of violin spectacle and pop tenderness that surged in betting odds after standout Vienna rehearsals and consistent pre-party dominance. Australia's Delta Goodrem vaulted to 16.1% with her emotive "Eclipse" securing Semi-Final 2 qualification last night (May 14), amplifying Down Under buzz amid strong streaming metrics. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 7.1%) and Israel's Noam Bettan (6.2%) hold firm via OGAE fan votes and rehearsal polish, while Romania (5.1%) and Denmark (4.6%) gained from recent semis. With the Vienna grand final this weekend, running order reveals and jury-televote splits could spark shifts in this crowded field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$165,798,427
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands a commanding 51.2% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner on Polymarket, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a Finnish-language fusion of violin spectacle and pop tenderness that surged in betting odds after standout Vienna rehearsals and consistent pre-party dominance. Australia's Delta Goodrem vaulted to 16.1% with her emotive "Eclipse" securing Semi-Final 2 qualification last night (May 14), amplifying Down Under buzz amid strong streaming metrics. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 7.1%) and Israel's Noam Bettan (6.2%) hold firm via OGAE fan votes and rehearsal polish, while Romania (5.1%) and Denmark (4.6%) gained from recent semis. With the Vienna grand final this weekend, running order reveals and jury-televote splits could spark shifts in this crowded field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$165,798,427
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 50%, seguido de "Australia" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $165.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Australia" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.