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icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Bulgaria 100.0%

Albania <1%

Austria <1%

Bélgica <1%

Polymarket

$193,910,213 Vol.

Bulgaria 100.0%

Albania <1%

Austria <1%

Bélgica <1%

Polymarket

$193,910,213 Vol.

icon for Albania

Albania

$8,005,195 Vol.

No

icon for Austria

Austria

$8,108,125 Vol.

No

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,420,855 Vol.

No

icon for Croacia

Croacia

$5,653,066 Vol.

No

icon for Chequia

Chequia

$3,523,122 Vol.

No

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$6,341,724 Vol.

No

icon for Francia

Francia

$4,296,627 Vol.

No

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$4,629,156 Vol.

No

icon for Israel

Israel

$5,354,730 Vol.

No

icon for Letonia

Letonia

$6,075,605 Vol.

No

icon for Luxemburgo

Luxemburgo

$4,032,301 Vol.

No

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$5,407,178 Vol.

No

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$6,091,906 Vol.

No

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$5,657,864 Vol.

No

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$5,867,564 Vol.

No

icon for Suecia

Suecia

$3,202,899 Vol.

No

icon for Ucrania

Ucrania

$3,941,487 Vol.

No

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$6,682,675 Vol.

No

icon for Australia

Australia

$4,637,731 Vol.

No

icon for Azerbaiyán

Azerbaiyán

$6,764,132 Vol.

No

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$6,729,770 Vol.

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$4,313,725 Vol.

No

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$3,472,777 Vol.

No

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$6,594,936 Vol.

No

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$6,229,476 Vol.

No

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$4,876,393 Vol.

No

icon for Italia

Italia

$4,904,251 Vol.

No

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$6,084,448 Vol.

No

icon for Malta

Malta

$4,428,777 Vol.

No

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$6,619,309 Vol.

No

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$8,390,985 Vol.

No

icon for Rumanía

Rumanía

$4,191,630 Vol.

No

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,728,335 Vol.

No

icon for Suiza

Suiza

$5,849,121 Vol.

No

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$4,802,339 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria's commanding position in the Eurovision Winner 2026 market stems from Dara's explosive live performance of "Bangaranga" in the grand final, where the high-energy dance anthem secured a decisive victory with 516 points by topping both the jury and televote tallies. Strong rehearsal buzz, dynamic staging, and broad audience appeal propelled the track past pre-final frontrunners like Finland and Australia, marking Bulgaria's first win and return to the contest since 2022. Traders have priced in this outcome as near-certain given the confirmed results, though an upset could still emerge only in the event of a recount or scoring error—scenarios that remain highly improbable at this stage.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$193,910,213
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria's commanding position in the Eurovision Winner 2026 market stems from Dara's explosive live performance of "Bangaranga" in the grand final, where the high-energy dance anthem secured a decisive victory with 516 points by topping both the jury and televote tallies. Strong rehearsal buzz, dynamic staging, and broad audience appeal propelled the track past pre-final frontrunners like Finland and Australia, marking Bulgaria's first win and return to the contest since 2022. Traders have priced in this outcome as near-certain given the confirmed results, though an upset could still emerge only in the event of a recount or scoring error—scenarios that remain highly improbable at this stage.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$193,910,213
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Bulgaria" con 100%, seguido de "Albania" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $193.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Bulgaria" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Albania" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.