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icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

NUEVO
31 may 2026
Polymarket

$2,873 Vol.

Polymarket

Drake

$1,730 Vol.

91%

Ariana Grande

$33 Vol.

85%

Olivia Rodrigo

$68 Vol.

39%

Taylor Swift

$218 Vol.

27%

Beyoncé

$0 Vol.

29%

Gracie Abrams

$0 Vol.

29%

The Weeknd

$0 Vol.

27%

Olivia Dean

$0 Vol.

9%

Bruno Mars

$0 Vol.

8%

Bad Bunny

$1 Vol.

6%

Alex Warren

$61 Vol.

2%

Don Toliver

$0 Vol.

2%

Kanye West

$52 Vol.

2%

Noah Kahan

$709 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Trader consensus heavily favors Drake at 92% implied probability for a Spotify Global daily Top 50 #1 in May, propelled by his upcoming album *Iceman* dropping May 15—poised to unleash massive streaming surges following his recent record-breaking 60 million daily Spotify streams for a rapper without new music. Olivia Rodrigo has already secured a yes outcome with "Drop Dead" topping the chart earlier this month, while catalog staples like Justin Bieber's long-running "Beauty and a Beat" currently hold #1 amid viral resurgence. Ariana Grande sits at 84% on hype for potential singles, but Drake's release strategy and historical dominance in streaming metrics position him as the clear frontrunner through May 31, with daily chart updates as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volumen
$2,873
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Trader consensus heavily favors Drake at 92% implied probability for a Spotify Global daily Top 50 #1 in May, propelled by his upcoming album *Iceman* dropping May 15—poised to unleash massive streaming surges following his recent record-breaking 60 million daily Spotify streams for a rapper without new music. Olivia Rodrigo has already secured a yes outcome with "Drop Dead" topping the chart earlier this month, while catalog staples like Justin Bieber's long-running "Beauty and a Beat" currently hold #1 amid viral resurgence. Ariana Grande sits at 84% on hype for potential singles, but Drake's release strategy and historical dominance in streaming metrics position him as the clear frontrunner through May 31, with daily chart updates as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volumen
$2,873
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Drake" con 91%, seguido de "Ariana Grande" con 85%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" es "Drake" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ariana Grande" con 85%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.