Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEurovision 3rd Place 2026
Eurovision 3rd Place 2026
Finland 13%
Denmark 13%
Greece 10%
Australia 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
Finland
19%
Denmark
13%
Greece
18%
Australia
19%
France
10%
Israel
9%
Moldova
5%
Belgium
5%
Romania
5%
Norway
4%
Italy
4%
Sweden
4%
Malta
4%
Croatia
4%
Latvia
4%
Ukraine
4%
Bulgaria
4%
Cyprus
3%
Serbia
3%
Czechia
3%
Lithuania
3%
Germany
3%
Azerbaijan
3%
Poland
3%
Albania
3%
Austria
3%
Armenia
3%
Portugal
1%
Georgia
1%
Estonia
1%
United Kingdom
1%
Luxembourg
1%
Montenegro
1%
Switzerland
1%
San Marino
<1%
Finland 13%
Denmark 13%
Greece 10%
Australia 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
Finland
$1,411 Vol.
19%
Denmark
$104 Vol.
13%
Greece
$336 Vol.
18%
Australia
$104 Vol.
19%
France
$104 Vol.
10%
Israel
$69 Vol.
9%
Moldova
$44 Vol.
5%
Belgium
$129 Vol.
5%
Romania
$104 Vol.
5%
Norway
$225 Vol.
4%
Italy
$59 Vol.
4%
Sweden
$44 Vol.
4%
Malta
$89 Vol.
4%
Croatia
$103 Vol.
4%
Latvia
$269 Vol.
4%
Ukraine
$44 Vol.
4%
Bulgaria
$44 Vol.
4%
Cyprus
$69 Vol.
3%
Serbia
$45 Vol.
3%
Czechia
$44 Vol.
3%
Lithuania
$269 Vol.
3%
Germany
$222 Vol.
3%
Azerbaijan
$195 Vol.
3%
Poland
$293 Vol.
3%
Albania
$140 Vol.
3%
Austria
$190 Vol.
3%
Armenia
$114 Vol.
3%
Portugal
$279 Vol.
1%
Georgia
$291 Vol.
1%
Estonia
$269 Vol.
1%
United Kingdom
$269 Vol.
1%
Luxembourg
$269 Vol.
1%
Montenegro
$730 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$432 Vol.
1%
San Marino
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Volumen
$7,685Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$7,685Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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