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icon for Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner

Finland 67%

Greece 15%

Israel 13%

Croatia 6.7%

Polymarket

$194,568 Vol.

Finland 67%

Greece 15%

Israel 13%

Croatia 6.7%

Polymarket

$194,568 Vol.

Finland

$22,744 Vol.

67%

Greece

$17,608 Vol.

15%

Israel

$10,915 Vol.

13%

Croatia

$20,462 Vol.

7%

Lithuania

$12,557 Vol.

4%

Moldova

$24,419 Vol.

2%

Serbia

$10,985 Vol.

1%

Poland

$13,634 Vol.

<1%

Sweden

$13,799 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$8,374 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$7,360 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$7,799 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$7,600 Vol.

<1%

Montenegro

$7,147 Vol.

<1%

Portugal

$9,164 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 66.5% implied probability as the First Semi-Final winner, driven by its standout live performance last night in Vienna, where epic violin-drama staging and disco hooks captivated juries and secured strong Nordic televote support. Pre-event frontrunner in OGAE fan polls and bookmakers' odds, the entry's rehearsal buzz and broad appeal propelled trader consensus post-show. Greece's Akylas surged to 14.5% with "Ferto"'s powerful vocals, despite first-half draw positioning, while Israel's Noam Bettan held 12.5% amid protest disruptions during "Michelle." Croatia's "Andromeda" climbed to 6.6% on late momentum, as full semi-final points await reveal after Saturday's Grand Final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$194,568
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 66.5% implied probability as the First Semi-Final winner, driven by its standout live performance last night in Vienna, where epic violin-drama staging and disco hooks captivated juries and secured strong Nordic televote support. Pre-event frontrunner in OGAE fan polls and bookmakers' odds, the entry's rehearsal buzz and broad appeal propelled trader consensus post-show. Greece's Akylas surged to 14.5% with "Ferto"'s powerful vocals, despite first-half draw positioning, while Israel's Noam Bettan held 12.5% amid protest disruptions during "Michelle." Croatia's "Andromeda" climbed to 6.6% on late momentum, as full semi-final points await reveal after Saturday's Grand Final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$194,568
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finland" con 67%, seguido de "Greece" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 67¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner" ha generado $194.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 7, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner" es "Finland" con 67%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Greece" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.